Storm5
Member
Can you post the one with this weekends system removed
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Pattern Flaming Feb 2021
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Can you post the one with this weekends system removed
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Jessy89
Member
Why is the GFS op run so out to lunch from the gefs esambles? I’m really looking forward to the euro run.
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Tells me the OP is on crack more than likely
I wish they had “ice ensembles”. Would be interesting to see something like that in this set up
Storm5
Member
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Hopefully the cold can actually break into the medium range here, we're still stuck at day 9 before the motherload reaches us.
SouthSideYankee
Member
Because it's an op run at like 200hrs.
I’m noticing CAD, I guess some members probably separate the Atlantic Canada trough/our Trough for overrunning and stick a ridge through the GLs, this sucks for other areas but for CAD regions could possibly do something
I’ve seen it more times than not if the GFS is crappy the GEFS is likely to also be crappy so I would say the GFS was out to lunch this run....hopefully
Not a fan. But I’ll play I guess 
lexxnchloe
Member
Nasty pattern if it were hurricane season.
Stormlover
Member
ugh, you are right...not much snow, but ice
D
Deleted member 609
Guest
Looks like only one of them is similar to OP. Interesting.
Meanwhile, the GEPS was a big shift in the right direction.
We may get saved by CAD, typically they pop up out of nowhere
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The EPS and ECMWF are gonna be somewhat telling wrt which camp we may be headed towards the next day or two. If it nods to the icon, gem, and its ensembles, I’ll be more apt to give less credence to the gefs and gfs. The last couple times they’ve held back these southern Canada TPV lobes back too long and hopefully that happens again here
Doesn’t the GFS suit have a track record of completely losing storms in the mid range only to bring it back as we get closer?
Yeah but that’s with suppression/stuff that can trend NW
iGRXY
Member
Don't they all?
Yes but the GFSV2 nailed the early December storm a couple years ago
CAD with the snow pack the NE has now should work fine for the western 2/3rds of NC and upstate SC
EURO VS GFS (12z RUN)
EURO has a stronger vortex into AK so far this run vs GFS
Euro looks in between so far, better then the GFS atm 
BelmontWX79
Member
Looking over the 00Z para Euro from last night and its not near as favourable for snow. Digs a lot more over the west before eventually heading east and follows an evolution at the surface similar to the 12Z GFSV16. SIG CAD develops and brings what looks to be major ice to much of North Carolina and Upstate South Carolina. Hopefully some of that is sleet but with 850's starting out some warm not so sure. I only picked out one frame but alot more precip falls around this time.
Euro is a little bit better then the GFS, hopefully that developing ridge to the west can boot it 
I think more good changes...EURO vs GFS
That developing western ridge may try to drop the TPV down a bit, that’s a better look vs the GFS I think
Completely different look in Alaska. I like the way the EMCF seems to be headed. It has that bagginess in the SW that's been absent the past two GFS runs.
So far the Euro looks worse than 00z. More ridging over the NE, less +PNA.
We still went the wrong direction imo 
The PV north of MN is just screaming for an inland tracking system. Need it farther east. We know this, so I'm not pointing out anything new. But when you see the models trending toward moving it west, that's no bueno.
whatalife
Moderator
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