Two in a row... wow
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Pattern Flaming Feb 2021
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Two in a row... wow
This is extremely similar to feb 2014 wow 
Goodness, GFS and Euro have been consistent with the valentines day timeish storm. Trying not to get sucked in, but I know that I will.
RVD
Meteorology Student
Lmao this run is colder. The north stream features (PV, surface high) shifted east a few hundred miles, which also means the shortwave at 500 hPa will retain some of its structure a bit better this run.
iGRXY
Member
GFS giving Georgia and the Carolinas the bidness again
SouthSideYankee
Member
Holy mother GFS.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
I'd love to see Feb 1973 v2.0 in today's warmer/wetter world. More vapor to be fluxed around amps the wave, increases the theoretical snow ceiling, and shift the axis slightly further NW ?
Let’s suppress this thing far south, then let it come back NW ?
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
A 1057 over North Dakota would be borderline record territory for February
HugeSnowStick
Member
packfan98
Moderator
Wow! Storm turns the corner and gets all of NC in this too. I imagine this would be high ratios on the northern side and the Kuchera map is going to be yummy!
Huge huge nut 
packfan98
Moderator
Looks like the GEFS improved for Sunday too!
Another good happy hour run by the GFS!
Dewpoint Dan
Member
How much of this is ice ?
ATLwxfan
Member
When is the last time we’ve seen back to back runs like this? I’ll give you a hint...I can’t remember.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
The more I’m looking at it on the ensembles, the more I’m seeing that too. Also, I went looked at how temperatures progressed leading up to that... Saturday and Sunday before both were fairly mild in CLT with highs around 60.... Monday was the transition day as the cold air filtered in setting the stage for the next 3 days.
iGRXY
Member
Kuchera measures between a 1-2 feet statewide in SC and NC. Upstate is in the low to mid 20’s the whole event so you gotta think ratios would be 15:1 to 20:1
whatalife
Moderator
RVD
Meteorology Student
Dewpoint Dan
Member
The real winner looks like Dubuque. 3 feet. Congrats Tarheel.
stephend122080
Member
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The really big winter storms south of the I-40 corridor are more often than not overrunning events w/ lift mostly driven by isentropic upglide and warm advection.
The GFS showcases this nicely here
Notice the wind barbs are almost perpendicular to the isentropes!
The GFS showcases this nicely here
Notice the wind barbs are almost perpendicular to the isentropes!
Lol some good members and a insane one 
HugeSnowStick
Member
Totally just popped a massive weenie warning....
Ron Burgundy
Member
Must..look...away. Don’t...look...directly...at it...
BE STILL MY HEART! Holycrap
I think this is the "The One"!
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Lol we're probably sleeting at some point w/ soundings like these on the GFS knowing how it sucks trying to resolve warm noses
Sleet at 21F...
Smh
Setting up for snow on top of snow?
Still a really good storm signal for that timeframe
EastAtlwx
Meteorologist
This one even managed to pull the weenie out of me! Lol, it’s been a tough stretch south of I-85.. this one may be “the one” for the Deep South.. buckle up!
iGRXY
Member
The Valentine’s weekend storm is probably going to be the best storm that we could keep on the models for multiple runs over multiple days. Mostly due to the amount of colder air to our north that any storm system that forms will deliver as long as it doesn’t get shredded to pieces. But still wouldn’t surprise me if this one goes to hell in the day 6-8 range to come back as that’s our luck. But hopefully this will be one of the very few storms that stays on the models until it’s go time.
Another Fantasy 
Ron Burgundy
Member
Stop! It’s too sensitive!!!
Yeah, as you said earlier most major snow events in the southeast are going to have major ice involved with it as well. Honestly I didn’t so much mind the sleet that I got during the February 2014 storm... it helped keep that on the ground for days even though temperatures warmed up into the 50s just a couple days after. Also as good as February 2004 was for me, it even ended with a period of sleet at the end.
I would say I don’t like being in the jackpot this far out .. but hell move this thing north south east or west ??
Who cares ?!Cary_Snow95
Member
Temps during this storm are absolutely unreal in central NC. 22 degrees during heaviest precip and falling down to 17 during light snow as system begins to leave.
Showmeyourtds
Member
Can someone help me decode this sounding? The frame before had 28/37 and showed snow. Am I not seeing the warm layer at the surface correctly (This is for just East of downtown Atlanta in case anyone was too lazy to google the coordinates)