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Pattern Flaming Feb 2021

Montanasnow30 said:
Here is a snippet from James Spann!!!
LONG RANGE IDEAS: While the idea of Arctic air entering the Deep South next week is now off the table, we note very cold air will be looming north of here through next week. Temperatures this morning over Alaska were as cold as -40F, and that kind of air covers much of western Canada and the Arctic region. That air is heavy, and at some point will have to move.

One run of the American GFS model today shows a big snow/ice event for Alabama in 10 days. You will see that plastered all over social media, but it is meaningless at this point. Having said that, the players are on the field for some potential for winter mischief by mid-month. Arctic air and an active southern branch of the jet stream will be watched closely. But, we could go through the entire month of February without a winter storm threat; this is Alabama after all. But, it wouldn’t be a big shock if we have at least a chance of wintry precipitation within the next three weeks. We will see.
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Are you ready for the cold ? Looks like you will have highs between 0 and 5 for several days with lows -15 to -20 !
 
Shawn said:
This front end warm makes perfect sense for deep southern snows. Many times I've heard stories of warm to snow within a week from older people.
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It honestly makes it a bit more believable if you ask me. This wouldn't be the first time that it would've happened either.

Recall March 1st 2009- There were tornadoes and severe storms all across Alabama and West Georgia on Saturday February 28th. I saw that a winter storm watch was posted for north and central Alabama. In Auburn, AL (where I was living at the time), the temp reached 79 with bright sunshine after the storms rolled out. 12 hours later, it was nuking snow- ended up with a little over 4 inches on campus.

Not surprising at all if we see these extremes.

Happy hr goof has temps pushing 70 across Alabama, Georgia & South Carolina @ 165 with a massive gradient back to the north and west.

@Brick Tamland ....is it happening?
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
lol that increase of ridging in the NPAC really changed everything, were trending towards a favorable look for severe over winter in the medium range View attachment 70761
And oh....View attachment 70760View attachment 70762
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Yeah I think most of SC except for the northern Upstate and eastern NC will sneak a mild day, but I have a feeling the rest of us will be wedge in out ahead of this front. There’s just such a good snowpack to our north now and with that -NAO it’s gonna be hard to stay out of that wedge. For the folks that do get 60s/70, they might get to experience one of my favorite weather events... the 25+ degree day to day temp drop
 
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