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Pattern Flaming Feb 2021

If we manage a miracle and score with next week's system- and by scoring I mean board-wide with a 6 inch plus snow, (minus most of TN, MS, and part's of AL) sorry to you folks but you got yours already... I won't complain about winter or lack thereof for at least 2 years. I am a little more optimistic about next week than I have been in a while because we are in the midst of transitioning from winter to spring meaning we may be able to pull a big dog. But I won't bite until it showing this storm at least 48 hours in advance. And every damn model shows it. Lol.
 
ryan1234 said:
If we manage a miracle and score with next week's system- and by scoring I mean board-wide with a 6 inch plus snow, (minus most of TN, MS, and part's of AL) sorry to you folks but you got yours already... I won't complain about winter or lack thereof for at least 2 years. I am a little more optimistic about next week than I have been in a while because we are in the midst of transitioning from winter to spring meaning we may be able to pull a big dog. But I won't bite until it showing this storm at least 48 hours in advance. And every damn model shows it. Lol.
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Well the gfs and euro came back to reality on the 12z runs. I think all that hope is gone now
 
The teleconnections right now doesn't look that good.
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Loganelliott99 said:
Well the gfs and euro came back to reality on the 12z runs. I think all that hope is gone now
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I could care less about any modeling this far out, to be honest. It's all noise and garbage at this point anyway. All I am looking for is a pattern that may open a window for one last hurrah for winter weather here. Then it's on to spring and svr weather. And I really hope we can manage to keep those wedges to our north. Because we all deserve something to track.
 
ATLwxfan said:
I’m a doctor not a meteorologist so I’m not the best person to explain it. Nice suppressed storm track with a gulf low and a big high over NE. Hopefully that bowling ball drops into Texas and stays nice and cold as it slides East. With marginal temps it’ll thread the line between heavy rain or snow. The whole “cooling the column” bit. There’s my awful explanation. Feel free to roll your eyes and toss.


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Thanks Doc, you answered exactly what I was asking. I know it’s been said many times but it does seem that often previous systems lay the groundwork for the ones that truly deliver in our area. Each subsequent system serving to drop the track a bit further south w the colder boundary in succession. I can rarely remember an event that wasn’t “wrestling the temps” here. Even w Arctic intrusion our systems only seem to be able to drop far enough south as air is moderating/boundary relaxing a bit. Then track of L pretty much means everything. I like that the track is becoming more favorable on heels of historic arctic to our west. Maybe we win one!! Thanks!!
 
ryan1234 said:
I could care less about any modeling this far out, to be honest. It's all noise and garbage at this point anyway. All I am looking for is a pattern that may open a window for one last hurrah for winter weather here. Then it's on to spring and svr weather. And I really hope we can manage to keep those wedges to our north. Because we all deserve something to track.
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All we can ask for a week out is... are there players on the field?... right now there is.
 
iGRXY said:
I’m not mad they saw snow. I’m mad that SAN ANTONIO can get 8 inches and we can’t even get a CAD to work over here.
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I’m not sure Atlanta has ever gotten more than 8 inches. Maybe once.


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This system for next Friday could very well come back. Most of our storms the models loose then bring back!


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Loganelliott99 said:
View attachment 76472

Really not a bad look if you want snow imo
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I tend to agree with this. The GFS had a better cold press into the eastern US but pretty much obliterated the shortwave incoming from the four-corners. A little more defined vort max and northern areas of the SE are in business.
 
Wild Weather Monger said:
I tend to agree with this. The GFS had a better cold press into the eastern US but pretty much obliterated the shortwave incoming from the four-corners. A little more defined vort max and northern areas of the SE are in business.
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I would rather they shred or suppress this far out than amp and drive it north.
 
Loganelliott99 said:
View attachment 76472

Really not a bad look if you want snow imo
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Really not bad at all. There seems to be a decent cold push there and there is a system. Again players are on the field. It obviously going to come down to near perfect timing. Is that likely?? No, but it has happened before
 
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