Pattern February Discussion Part II

[ForsythSnow]

still not much but as I said it's getting colder by the run during this period, it's not doing so by a lot, but is some.

Yep, but it is a step in the right direction.

 

[pcbjr]

lol

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Exactly - but bump my pedantic comment

 

[Storm5]

trend! ( sarcasm )

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[RollTide18]

Yeah I bet we get at least one phased run over the next 48 hours

And what would a phase in this instance do?

 

[accu35]

this might mean much to some, but this tells me the low held back longer, allowing to get colder.

 

[SD]

That piece over Iowa at 222 in sure it gets shunted east but if it comes south someone gets a good one

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[NorthGaWinter4]

lol give me that inch of snow

 

[Storm5]

And what would a phase in this instance do?

cause mass false hope with pretty clown maps thanks to a paste bomb

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[pcbjr]

cause mass false hope with pretty clown maps thanks to a paste bomb

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so well said ...

 

[Storm5]

That piece over Iowa at 222 in sure it gets shunted east but if it comes south someone gets a good one

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[Arcc]

cause mass false hope with pretty clown maps thanks to a paste bomb

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Uh oh we know for sure the winter is on life support when you get pessimistic.

 

[Storm5]

12z gfs

18z gfs

same model. unreal

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[tractor girl]

the operative word this winter

is no.

 

[SnowHusky]

The day 12+ system could be good on this run. The northern stream is where I want it. Will that energy phase that is over the SW? We'll see.

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[Storm5]

Uh oh we know for sure the winter is on life support when you get pessimistic.

getting Close to crash cart time

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[pcbjr]

The day 12+ system could be good on this run. The northern stream is where I want it. Will that energy phase that is over the SW? We'll see.

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my hair will go from auburn to grey by then ... LOL

 

[accu35]

12z gfs

18z gfs

same model. unreal

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WOW!!

 

[SoutheastRidge]

The day 12+ system could be good on this run. The northern stream is where I want it. Will that energy phase that is over the SW? We'll see.

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Just curious. What skill do the models have at the day 12 range ?

 

[malak05]

Well looking at past 4-5 runs the cold has jogged down some its getting better

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

FWIW: After this system around 16/17, the GFS is in a completely different direction than what we've seen previously. Although it eventually warms up again, it was much warmer on the 12z.