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Pattern February Discussion Part II

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metwannabe said:
OMG you could not ask for a better storm track...... how many times have we seen this and said give me that look in Jan/Feb and I'd call it a Winter??
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Give me that look in Jan and early Feb and I think we'd be in business. Unfortunately, we're talking mid Feb here and things are warming up in a hurry.
 
Cary_Snow95 said:
Not jon, but on this run verbatim there is actually more cold air to work with. A stronger high is also pushing down
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OK - it's this run - but dynamically, where is the cold coming from and how does it get down into the SE (not talking "cool" - a relative term)? I'd really love to know the dynamic.
 
Once again, a good track and no cold air. It seems to be trying to get there, but not good enough on this run either.

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This run looks way more interesting, more cold air to work with
 
BTW: There was interaction with this storm from the s/w that was diving in from the plains last run. I don't think there's going to be a phase this run but it got closer and I think it got a couple ticks colder again. It's very slowly getting colder, not a lot, but some.
 
Oh Ooo...starting to see some snow on the very northern shield of moisture at 186.

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It looks closer this run to something. Gives light snow to the far northern areas of moisture.
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_seus_31.png
 
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