Wintry February 6th-7th

[DopplerWx]

The 3km lacks precip at the onset/its spotty so that’s why it isn’t as good as the 12km/HRRR, need a big ol frontogenic band to start out

Yea need a nice band of precip early on, spotty aint going to cut it

 

[packfan98]

The 3km lacks precip at the onset/its spotty so that’s why it isn’t as good as the 12km/HRRR, need a big ol frontogenic band to start out

Knowing the dry bias of the 3k, I’d say that it fill in by the 12z run tomorrow.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Yea need a nice band of precip early on, spotty aint going to cut it

Sounding here on the 3km, definitely need a heavy band of precipitation to start out, sounding is supportive of snow before the warm nose shuts everything off

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

21z RAP Clown Map
View attachment 71823

My weenie is to sensitive for this

I think it’ll snow a little bit in the beginning, we need more precipitation here to take advantage of the solid 850s at the onset, that could come to our advantage also by cooling temps quicker View attachment 71903View attachment 71904

remember also that usually in these types of events precip comes quicker and usually more expansive come verification time

 

[Myfrotho704_]

It’s a double edged sword, the 3km verbatim with the amount of WAA/FGEN its shows would mean Earlier precip onset (more then it shows) which would Maybe be a good thing, but at the same time the warm nose would likely be faster, I could see areas along 85/north starting out as snow, even a heavy burst but only lasting for 30-45 minutes

 

[Myfrotho704_]

There’s also a chance we get a sleetoband to start out haha for many areas instead of snow

 

[LovingGulfLows]

12km NAM run is actually an improvement for much of NGA over 18z. Still wouldnt be surprised at an onset sleet or even snow as far south as I-20.

 

[Snownut]

Can someone Answer why this looks better for the upstate than it does Ga?

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[NoSnowATL]

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

What’s everyone’s location of choice for this one?

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

WARF sisters looking bodacious ️

 

[LukeBarrette]

In case y’all want to see something absurd

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[Weatherlover92]

WARF sisters looking bodacious View attachment 71918

What the actual F is this even? Even w/ the sleet totals included this is pretty ridiculous. ?

 

[DixieBlizzard]

What’s everyone’s location of choice for this one?

Honestly, right where I am at. We tend to do okay here but probably not the max. If I had to drive somewhere, probably no further than Blairsvile.

 

[J.C.]

Honestly, right where I am at. We tend to do okay here but probably not the max. If I had to drive somewhere, probably no further than Blairsvile.

Are you near town or more toward Blue Ridge? @ 1886' you can't be anywhere near the rivers.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Hopefully I’ll be solid above 3k feet. I think my hotel in Cashiers is just under 3500. I don’t mind some sleet. Thoughts?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

My map (WAA ftw)

 

[NCSNOW]

Hopefully I’ll be solid above 3k feet. I think my hotel in Cashiers is just under 3500. I don’t mind some sleet. Thoughts?

Nice town, great elevation. You should do well. You want have to worry about any warm nose below 3000ft.

 

[Jessy89]

Hopefully I’ll be solid above 3k feet. I think my hotel in Cashiers is just under 3500. I don’t mind some sleet. Thoughts?

I look forward to seeing how you do there. Cashiers I think would see higher totals. Elevation probably 4-5 inches. I’m staying at Ramada inn in Maggie Valley if I can get 3 there I’ll call it a success. This is my last chase of the season.


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[Jrips2710]

Honestly, right where I am at. We tend to do okay here but probably not the max. If I had to drive somewhere, probably no further than Blairsvile.

Staying at a cabin up there in Elijay next weekend on the river. Good luck my friend.

Hopefully I’ll be solid above 3k feet. I think my hotel in Cashiers is just under 3500. I don’t mind some sleet. Thoughts?

Staying at the Laurelwood Inn?