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Wintry February 6th-7th

I hope I don’t regret the decision but I just booked a room in Maggie valley tomorrow night. If I stay in liberty it likely be a burst of snow to rain. But on the other hand I hope Maggie valley doesn’t bust with little to know moisture. Hopefully I can nail this storm and intercept this thing


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farleydawg792 said:
21z RAP Clown Map
View attachment 71823
Click to expand...
That purple paint is right over my house. Sorry, it has zero chance of happening.

Seriously though, the Euro even has a little bit in the same area. It just doesn't seem reasonable given the boundary level issues and retreating 850's in this part of Ga.
 
Iv always heard you can’t predict the weather. Seems like it’s pretty predictable around here. Just once I would like to see something unexpected happen and have a storm bust in our favor.
 
Wild Weather Monger said:
That purple paint is right over my house. Sorry, it has zero chance of happening.

Seriously though, the Euro even has a little bit in the same area. It just doesn't seem reasonable given the boundary level issues and retreating 850's in this part of Ga.
Click to expand...
I agree. Gotta love clown maps though. Just makes me stay awake longer so I can engage in Model Madness!
 
farleydawg792 said:
I agree. Gotta love clown maps though. Just makes me stay awake longer so I can engage in Model Madness!
Click to expand...
I'm not going to lie, I will not be able to keep myself from radar watching all day tomorrow. And you know the drill, pulling for clear skies most of the night and clouds to roll in just before sunrise and precip streaking in from the wsw earlier than forecast LOL.

Interestingly, after looking more closely at the 21Z Rap and 12 km NAM, both models bring easterly 850's with a convergence zone just to our south for a few hours. It's a long shot, but I'll be watching!
 
Its probably a safe bet to say upstate north of 85 sees 1-2" don't really see it being over that.

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Really hoping to see 3-5 in Maggie Valley. That would be a successful chase. Risk staying home in upstate and getting warm nose and seeing little to nothing. Mountains the only thing that could go wrong is the moisture not push far enough north. I’m really excited to see how this evolves.


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