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Wintry February 19-21, 2020 Winter Storm

Really need the bama to overperform and slide East over everyone within 50mi north and south of Charlotte. Need widespread 1-3”+ west to East overrunning special. It’s poss in this setup and has my Attention more than the “ugly transfer”.
Thinking back to the widespread overrunning pasting the GFS was showing for the I-20 region a few day’s ago, the signal was there for awhile. Will be interesting to see if that comes back into the mix in some form or fashion.
 
Euro is kinda on its own rn keeping that precip sheild south, is it seeing something ? Or is it bouta fail miserably?
 
North GA getting snow by hour 72, less moisture into NC. Cold might be able to funnel in and give place in SC, other areas of GA snow.. waiting.

Edit: Far Northen AL, bottom parts of TN light snow too.
Edit: Northern MS too

Also, tried it's hardest to define a surface low in the gulf around Louisiana.
 
Dr. No = Dr. Heck No tonight.

Warmer and more suppressed than it was at 12z by a lot.
Well luckily there is ensembles ... but this puts a wrench in our little parade for now would love to see the doc on our side at this juncture... cause at this point if it doesn’t correct soon this would be a major fail for the euro which it usually doesn’t do *MOST* of the time so I stay sketch for now
 
The 00z Euro is pretty bleak. A south shift from 12z, for sure. It makes you wonder. I should’ve went to bed so I didn’t have to see that.

The Euro is the southern outlier at this point, it appears.
 
Definitely not what you want to see from the Euro if you like snow anywhere in the South. It may still be wrong, but I'd honestly rather it show snow imby at this range and every other model not than vice versa. The rates were lighter so the temps were warmer everywhere.
 
Eastern NC/coast area with a nice snow.
 
I don’t know if anyone already mentioned this, but the 00z UKMET came north compared to past runs, but is still pretty suppressed. I think it usually has a bias towards suppressing Miller As, though.
 
Not sure I’ve ever seen such a dramatic difference between the Euro and other modeling only 72 hours out.

Sadly, I have and it very rarely goes the way of the other models. I still think or maybe hope it's too suppressed. Every system this year has been too suppressed to the south/southeast this season. Granted the HP strength is still there on the models and this may be the one time in the last 2 years one of them has verified at 1047+. So that may be aiding in suppression city.
 
Also, looking at that area I circled closer.. it actually gets suppressed/crushed under the high into the Gulf. rofl
 
0z euro looked better than 12z with the snow map I believe
 
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