• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Wintry February 19-21, 2020 Winter Storm

SD said:
I've thought for a while that the area that can overlap the initial shot of moisture and the late coastal/upper level enhancement had a shot at 6+. I'd really like to see the euro/uk on board now
Click to expand...

Wasn’t the euro late to the party on the last 2 surprise events when the NAM sniffed them out?


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Those heavy yellow bands coming into SC, you can see what's happening with the slither of snow out of nowhere. That's the heavier precipitation entering cooler air.. the yellow off towards Florence etc, should end up being a good thump of snow, also. I think it's spinning back in off the low being closer to the coast glancing at it... and those areas would still be a jackpot type of zone in the area.

BUT, all the lines have to be worked out later. Still too far out.
 
LovingGulfLows said:
GFS is so close for my backyard at hour 69 ? . This is during heavy precip too.

2020021800_GFS_069_33.75,-83.88_severe_ml.png
Click to expand...
Do you think the heat is overdone on GFS?
 
I know we have a few Virginia posters. 0z GFS was much more widespread than previous runs with 1-3” for all of south-west Virginia. Thinking it’s only going to go up from here.
 
Snowflowxxl said:
I have a feeling metro ATL will see some decent snow at least on the back end. I’ve seen this type set up many a times and it always trends better. We still have three days to get this on our side, plenty of time. I bet by this time tomorrow the NAM will have thrown us a bone.
Click to expand...

It's interesting though that the GFS doesn't have a warm nose between 780-850 mb like the NAM does, at least where I live. I'd rather have the NAM on my side in this case so I don't know...

I'm starting to wonder if I get a surprise here...that sounding I posted is definitely mixed precip.
 
BHS1975 said:
Wasn’t the euro late to the party on the last 2 surprise events when the NAM sniffed them out?


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Click to expand...

Well, the thing is the Euro was showing a big storm last week. Then it went away. So it's not like it has not shown the same possibility as the NAM is showing now. Not sure why the Euro is not doing it now, but short range models should be better in the short range anyway in getting the details right. If not, then what is the point of having them around?
 
LovingGulfLows said:
It's interesting though that the GFS doesn't have a warm nose between 780-850 mb like the NAM does, at least where I live. I'd rather have the NAM on my side in this case so I don't know...

I'm starting to wonder if I get a surprise here...that sounding I posted is definitely mixed precip.
Click to expand...
Yea, NAM will find the warm nose way quicker than the GFS
 
Brick Tamland said:
Well, the thing is the Euro was showing a big storm last week. Then it went away. So it's not like it has not shown the same possibility as the NAM is showing now. Not sure why the Euro is not doing it now, but short range models should be better in the short range anyway in getting the details right. If not, then what is the point of having them around?
Click to expand...

I think the euro will cave tonight.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Snowflowxxl said:
I have a feeling metro ATL will see some decent snow at least on the back end. I’ve seen this type set up many a times and it always trends better. We still have three days to get this on our side, plenty of time. I bet by this time tomorrow the NAM will have thrown us a bone.
Click to expand...
I’ve been sitting here wtg, w saddle in hand, to ride the NAM and a potentially beautiful, undermodeled wedge to victory!
 
I know that everyone wants their backyard to score, (as do I) but I really am rooting for EVERYONE on his board to score something. Most of us have experienced an overall, crappy 6 years of "winter". If the MA can score 4+ years in a row... we should be able to have ours. Mods... feel free to move this, if need be. But I am rooting for all of us. For the sake of our sanity, we deserve this win!
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top