Wintry February 19-21, 2020 Winter Storm

[Cary_Snow95]

Cmc has precip well north. Snow line is good bit north but the soundings should be all snow. Good trends tonight. Getting agreement

 

[Cary_Snow95]

 

[Deleted member 1449]

Cmc boom

Don't know if it's a boom; kinda like the GFS, but better than previous run that's for sure. Hopefully the NAM has an advantage over the globals, time will tell.

 

[SD]

Cmc has precip well north. Snow line is good bit north but the soundings should be all snow. Good trends tonight. Getting agreement

Ehhhh 850s are warn

 

[superjames1992]

It's interesting though that the GFS doesn't have a warm nose between 780-850 mb like the NAM does, at least where I live. I'd rather have the NAM on my side in this case so I don't know...

I'm starting to wonder if I get a surprise here...that sounding I posted is definitely mixed precip.

The NAM usually does well at sniffing out mid level warm noses, so we should heed its warnings, IMO. I’ve been burned by that too many times.

 

[Stormdoc]

Cmc boom

Gotta give the CMC credit last night for showing the enhanced further north precip. Looks like the upgrade is truly an upgrade

 

[Brick Tamland]

NAM has been rock steady today. CMC and GFS appear to be trending towards the NAM. Going to be interesting to see what the Euro does.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Overall, theres agreement that higher totals may become reality

 

[superjames1992]

00z GGEM is juicy, but verbatim would start out most as rain. Might be all snow up this way, certainly towards Metwannabe. We are getting dicey with some of these thermals and we’re still nearly three days out...

 

[BirdManDoomW]

More westward and north snowfall now with the CMC. I’m liking what I’m seeing hopefully with 3 more days of it. Just hope I don’t run into temp issues.

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

0z GEFS

 

[whatitdo]

When will the euro start to be released tonight?

 

[Ollie Williams]

When will the euro start to be released tonight?

12:45, but maps should be ready around 1.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[BirdManDoomW]

usually what’s good for me is not good for Charlotte and Raleigh. And what’s usually good for the blue ridge of Virginia is not good for me. I could see this favoring Virginia fwiw.

 

[Chandler]

Might just be the site idk, but looks to me like there are quite a few members with an initial warm nose?

 

[accu35]

0z Gefs looks good still. LOL, there are a few spots in central Bama. FWIW

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Yeah some BL issues on the gefs, also shows the transfer a bit more

 

[$alt]

Ah, so now we start to see the nam's slight warning may be a thing.. uh oh.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Might just be the site idk, but looks to me like there are quite a few members with an initial warm nose?
View attachment 35127

Yeah. That ain’t pretty if you live in SC and want anything other than a backend flurry/snowshower

 

[BirdManDoomW]

0z Gefs looks good still. LOL, there are a few spots in central Bama. FWIW

Really need the bama to overperform and slide East over everyone within 50mi north and south of Charlotte. Need widespread 1-3”+ west to East overrunning special. It’s poss in this setup and has my Attention more than the “sketchy transfer”.