Shaggy
Member
Always a concern down here on the coastal plain. We live with that but it would fun to say we had wintry precip 4 weekends in a row......that alone would make this a memorable winter stretch.
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Wintry Feb 6-8 2022 Winter Potential
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
iGRXY
Member
Really don’t know why we are even in this thread at this point. This thing is in the casket and has been lowered in the ground. At most somebody along the coast may see some light sleet or freezing rain but I doubt we even get any moisture that far.
Your wish is our command, thanks for playing
EPS is…. NW for some reason 
Couple decent members on the EPS lol 00z will be telling if that’s just noise, H5 didn’t look better to me
18z CMC was even worse
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Wow didn’t expect this tonight, 31 and freezing rain…
Probably because it’s Wednesday evening & this event is for Sunday am. I’m not one to be a super weenie & only wear the frozen moisture goggles when looking for storm threats, but y’all act like we haven’t been here before. I get everything & the kitchen sink has trended away from this event, the entire set up looks like crap but I’ve never seen everyone collectively throw out an event so fast in here in my entire time in Southernwx. It’s Wednesday night. One crackhead NAM run and everyone in here is going to go buckwild again.
What I think I read you say(hehe) is the storm is still there we just can't see it in the model runs.. and
Everyone needs to remember back to the approx 894 winter storm events from the past that disappeared, then returned and overperformed???..
Hell to the YES my friend... I 2nd your emotion!!
NAM looking like a steaming pile of hot ---- served on a platter dipped in zax sauce 
ICON !!
Cad Wedge NC
Member
Still weak and warm. Did come NW a good bit
Also delayed the storm until Monday. Quite odd.
Whoops, meant to put this in the whamby thread, I was trying to trick folks lmao into thinking it was good, sorry mods
For what it’s worth .. not much but the RGEM is king right ? RGEM at the same time of the 00z ICON .. 
which eventually had
which eventually had
The 00z GFS develops that second wave on Monday/Tuesday like the ICON had. Something has changed with the 00z models that is suddenly highlighting this. Might be our best shot at this point, though temperatures are problematic given the delayed timeframe…
Verbatim, this is light rain for the eastern Carolinas with temperatures around 40 with the 850 mb 0C line back around Raleigh.
Verbatim, this is light rain for the eastern Carolinas with temperatures around 40 with the 850 mb 0C line back around Raleigh.
If the RGEM weren’t cold biased, at face value this would mean another very close call to light ZR here. But it is colder than other models due to cold bias.
00z GGEM has the Monday/Tuesday system, as well. If we can get this to wrap up more, we might get better temps.
00z Euro sees the same and is the most NW with it. Unfortunately, we are on fire and it's a 38-42 degree rain for most. It isn't even close. Too warm east of the Appalachians, and there it is bone dry.
Yeah all models have lost the Sunday system and are keying in on Monday, although too warm GFS is close and ICON is coldest.00z Euro sees the same and is the most NW with it. Unfortunately, we are on fire and it's a 38-42 degree rain for most. It isn't even close. Too warm east of the Appalachians, and there it is bone dry.
In fact ICON trying to go boom Monday night ?
