NCSNOW
Member
Siler City (Home of Aunt Bee) is at 32. We should get updates from regionak airports around around 7:05.. everyones WB is 29-30 already. Matter if the drizzle cant get in here
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Wintry Feb 6-8 2022 Winter Potential
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
I will say this I watched a car loose control and slam into the blue ridge parkway stone bridge with just very light precip road was barley wet. It sneaks up on u.
Drscottsmith
Member
41/17.4 here in Duncan at 7pm
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
2025 Supporter
These are the kind of events that cause total chaos and trouble among everyday people. Hardly a mention on news, borderline temps and qpf. It hits 33/34 and drizzle is a tad bit heavi, everybody sees the 33/34 and drive like normal crazies and the bridges ice up and cause all kinds of wrecks.
Tarheelwx
Member
30.7 here in Colfax. How do I figure dewpoint? RH is 61%
TW
TW
I couldn't agree more. Any small area that tends to have cooler pockets by 1-2 degrees should have some concerns. You see these microclimates all through the mountains, and residents there are usually more weather aware.
18z euro kinda aggressive lol cut these by 65-75% and there you go 
rburrel2
Member
Hrrr showing accumulating ice now. When it starts showing that inside 18hrs it’s a pretty good signal there will be ice, imo. It’s also showing nearly an inch of liquid falling just south of Charlotte, hmmm
MichaelJ
Member
31/15 here now, looks like early morning commute in Triad could be slick
27.7/15 And there's a 80% it want do a darn thing tomorrow!
New HRRR much more aggressive 
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Lines up with your call map very well.
Tarheelwx
Member
27.7 here in Colfax. Wet bulb 23.36.
TW
TW
NCHighCountryWX
Member
- Joined
- Dec 28, 2016
- Messages
- 530
- Reaction score
- 1,458
WPC
Someone NW Piedmont gonna get .1 of zr and there's no advisory, interesting
Starting to like near the GSO/high point area for that
Need advisories now On i77 every single county right NOW NC i77 GSP and Blacksburg what are you thinking please wake up
They got this lol I just read there disco there's already hwo in place and they can issue advisory's at the drop of a hat.
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Any differences you see from the 18Z run to 0Z? Lol
Maybe but this is a very dry air mass with lift being the main driver of qpf Soo I'm not to worried.
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
The 3k NAM was also advertising some freezing drizzle here before main precip arrives. That’s not good, especially that it’s 21 currently.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
2025 Supporter
I’m taking names in my notebook! How do you spell GSP? Bear with me!
Moisture looking like it won’t be an issue, and there are some pretty low DPs, gonna be a rough commute depending on timing
Overdone given marginal sfc temps but matches the map I made well 
Wow so .. it looks like the RGEM remains king as it was one of the only models to keep the threat for freezing precip .. although it may have been too aggressive with the expansion of freezing precip (as time will answer this) it still was one of the only models seeing it further out until recently the EURO picked it up
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
01Z HRRR coming in looking more like recent NAM run
The hrrr continues to get more aggressive with the ZR and keeps getting slightly colder
Really is an interesting and sneaky little system for w/nw Piedmont, might be a challenging commute for y'all and not much attention to it.
If GSO gets something like this and especially more, that would make 5 significant wintry precip events in only ~5 weeks' elapsed time at GSO, an extremely rare occurrence.
To give one an idea of the degree of cold involved, KSAV had a daytime high of only 43 and a high since midnight of only 46, which is 17 BN! Ocean's modification prevented with persistent NNE winds. They got down to as low as 38 with rain. They're now at 42.
This all stems from hour 0… keeps getting colder /more juiced 
rburrel2
Member
Yep. Rgem still king of short range and NAM still complete hot garbage. In other news, water is wet.
Yep. RGEM been all over it for 3 days now
At this point I wouldn’t be surprised if even Raleigh got a light glaze especially on elevated surfaces were sitting at 33/22 with precip already at the border at 9:30 pm …
Only because a broken clock is right twice a day. I don't think the RGEM is doing better due to a superior model algorithm, but rather changes seen at initialization.
Onset CAD ice events rarely trend/favor areas to the east; rather cold is underestimated to the southwest. I still think this is a central GSO northwest shield, but there's a little more wiggle room down towards Davidson/Rowan, maybe CLT.
34/20 at JQF, gonna be close. precipitation Approaching the NC/SC border 
Yeah the RGEM has been superior at H5 but has a really bad cold bias sometimes. I could really be a great model if it’s cold bias was fixed
HRRR just lowered temps even more in the earlier hours 
NCSNOW
Member
28/18. Finally see high clouds, to my south. Should be here in a hour or 2. Still radiating, ground is froze solid
It appears the temperature just dropped 4 degrees in the last hour in Columbia, SC. Can anyone confirm that?
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Temp has went up 2 degrees in the last hour IMBY