L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Sorry, but have you not seen the significant trends north on the EPS today? At this range it’s way more important to look at trends on the ensembles instead of single OP runs
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Wintry Feb 6-8 2022 Winter Potential
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Gonna go ahead and do a first guess map before the 0z suit rolls out. Here’s what I’m guessing. Some deep areas of South Carolina stand a great chance of wintery mix that will eject n/e into parts of eastern NC. The light blue is for lesser amounts and odds with sharp gradient in the west near Charlotte. The purple “X” is the boom ? potential with this one for the most snow and amounts as the costal is just close enough for precip. Too early for amounts but some warning criteria would be possible for parts of South Carolina up through s/e Virginia. I hope to add amounts Thursday night to this map. I won’t be changing by the runs for at least 2 more days before I update this as things certainly will change.
iGRXY
Member
This is shaping up to be another 85 corridor special in my opinion. Odds are we end up with a moderately amped system with snow and sleet likely being the dominate precip types if it’s going to be wintery.
Jessy89
Member
I agree with this I don’t think it be huge totals by any means. But maybe a 2-4 inch type event north of 85. Maybe a area of 4-6 in the southern mountains of NC extreme northern upstate north of highway 11. That’s not a prediction by any means but I could see it trending to that.
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Hypsometric
Member
Subtle improvements on the 00z RGEM, similar to what we saw on the 18z Euro.
NAM as well
Nam looked great at 84
NAM 5H
stephend122080
Member
You really aren't going to get much better than that in this setupYep
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NW trend should have this thing flourishing
SnowNiner
Member
From 5h, I really thought the icon would have improved. Ugh.
GFS actually looks better this run ?? slightly more amped wave in tx and cooler mid levels, might be snowy 
stephend122080
Member
Closed off over Arkansas at 84
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Wait, after looking more amped in texas, it’s actually de amplifying, height field above is more harsh I’m assuming to the cutoff, the NS wave dropping in the NE this run favors more sleet/snow tho 
