Call me Debbie but frozen precip will not be that far east with that slp track
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Wintry Feb 6-8 2022 Winter Potential
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
GEFS with a stronger SE can trough/more amped ridge axis east of the GLs for descent and a stronger Damming high, and shortened wavelengths 
Would like to see the northern stream wave slow down, or the southern wave speed up, but you know how that's been going this year.
Correct.Call me Debbie but frozen precip will not be that far east with that slp track
RDUHeatIsland
Member
It'll be interesting to see how the arctic front event verifies. Currently the GFS is a southern/colder outlier with the heaviest axis of snow from the Catskills through Massachusetts, while the Euro/CMC/RGEM position it further north running through the Adirondacks. A southern track would certainly have at least some minor impacts on the snowpack/CAD strength.
It'll also be a test for the GFS which honestly has performed pretty poorly in the 2-4 day range for recent events in the NE.
It'll also be a test for the GFS which honestly has performed pretty poorly in the 2-4 day range for recent events in the NE.
Heelyes
Member
Snow for me and rain for moncure looks right.Call me Debbie but frozen precip will not be that far east with that slp track
Mean temps on GEFS during the bulk of the event is in the 20s from CLT-GSO-RAH
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Looks like UK has snow and ice. Much colder this run
Clem282340
Member
What does the temps look like in the mountains upstate and Georgia
Lol the Ukie was one of the warmest models during the first CAD event only bringing me down to 27/28, it’s not great with wedges at all, and hasn’t been good in general, it’s honestly been terrible this winter
Well now, fire up the thread boys................................. oh wait
It helps that the low is weaker than past storms. Doesnt amplify the warm nose enough to go all rain. Not good for ice though.
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Tried to tell ya where this was headed….Well now, fire up the thread boys................................. oh wait
Actually you never gave a location only stated CAD but I digress
Hypsometric
Member
Good stuff.Well now, fire up the thread boys................................. oh wait
Sleeeet
The GEM looked solid with the placement on top with the SE can vortex/ridge axis , but the southern stream wave was so weak 
Hypsometric
Member
I doubt it with 925s that warm (added those a second later).
Okay, no need to go vote anymore guys. The results are overwhelming to the old style and it has been reverted.
Haha whoops! Those pesky mid levels again.