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Pattern FEB 3-6 2024 System

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Wheres he at. They never get hit like that.

Im seeing a consensus. All 3 ops so far pop a deepening low right on SC coast, Canadian a few miles north of GFS and Icon, which are both right on top of each other. They all sit there floundering around and draw in more colder air as they deepen.
 
My mouth is starting to water....

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i've been thinking about that @griteater observation from earlier in the day about the orientation/tilt of the big ridge and i think if we could pull off a better tilt to allow an anticyclonic wave breaking event to lower heights more in this area... it would be really really nice
 
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