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Wintry Feb 17-19 Smastsmasher Snow/Ice

Lol this is so damn close to a big storm here, probably not gonna happen though. All we need really is that vortex in Quebec to be over Lake Ontario and then we'd have something in the Carolinas. But nope

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Lol this is so damn close to a big storm here, probably not gonna happen though. All we need really is that vortex in Quebec to be over Lake Ontario and then we'd have something in the Carolinas. But nope

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Crazy how weather works like that ??‍♂️ I’ll be waiting for the dynamic March upper level low snow machine to start up ??
 
Anyone wishing for ice should think twice

Southside Electric Cooperative in southern Virginia this morning still has 77% of their customers out this morning 48 hours after the event. Their area was torn up by ice

Our lineman need a break. They work harder than any NFL Lineman ever does.

Jacking and restringing wire and establishing equipotential grounding zones around the lineman to protect them from generator back feeds is tedious hard work.


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Lol you can see the effect moving the vortex south even a little is having already on this storm. Put the vortex over upstate NY & we would have cashed in big time

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I wish this was ehhhh 120 hours away .. we woulda been able to trend this to atleast some sleet .. ?
 
Anyone wishing for ice should think twice

Southside Electric Cooperative in southern Virginia this morning still has 77% of their customers out this morning 48 hours after the event. Their area was torn up by ice

Our lineman need a break. They work harder than any NFL Lineman ever does.

Jacking and restringing wire and establishing equipotential grounding zones around the lineman to protect them from generator back feeds is tedious hard work.


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No one is wishing for a devastating ice storm, I really wish people would quit implying that. As I have stated before we drool for hurricanes, tornadoes, derechos, straight line wind events, etc. Those do just as much damage. And knock out power to just as many people. I think we're all just burnt out on this miserable winter. So, we are willing to take winter precip in any form.
 
I'm real suspect of this potential event (retreating high, etc.). One pro (if you want more ice) is a cold/dry air mass will be deposited into our area the day before. Most models have dew points in the teens across NC on Wednesday. But with the retreating high we'll have to rely on in-situ CAD. That's hard for any CAD areas to make work; maybe the extreme western piedmont and foothills. For eastern/southern CAD folks, some onset glaze is about all we can hope for at this point.
 
Well, the ICON seems to have a very similar solution, but it too has been too cold as of late in this time frame.
 
Another thing going for us here is the immense snow pack that will be laid out basically everywhere north and west of us ... makes for a wayyyy easier insitu event
 
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I think the biggest thing to consider at this point is that the high pressure "should" have some legit dry arctic air associated with it. It's bound to drag some of that air over the midwest along with it, and then funnel it down (at the low levels) east of the Apps.
TW
 
Was the icon even this consistent with this past storm with how it showed a ice storm ... I swear it was a couple cycles then it ditched the idea
 
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