Wintry Feb 11-13 2021 Ice Potential

[Weatherlover92]

Not gonna lie, the NAM is the only reason I'm still keeping one eye focused on this. It gives me pause it's so aggressive with the CAD and the colder temps. No other model I've seen short range or global model shows us getting down into the 30s Friday night/Saturday other models keep us in the 40s. I would feel a lot more enthused if the RGEM would back the NAM's play over the next run or two.

 

[Clem282340]

Is this storm coming Thursday or Friday time period do you think the nam will keep coming in colder closer we get to it

 

[Nomanslandva]

Not gonna lie, the NAM is the only reason I'm still keeping one eye focused on this. It gives me pause it's so aggressive with the CAD and the colder temps. No other model I've seen short range or global model shows us getting down into the 30s Friday night/Saturday other models keep us in the 40s. I would feel a lot more enthused if the RGEM would back the NAM's play over the next run or two.

Agree. RGEM was north at 18z. Would like to see it shift back south or a bit colder. It was better than the NAM last Sunday.

 

[Nomanslandva]

NAM is a little north at 54. Not sure what that means downstream. For me, it looks like Thursday night snow is off the table. Still icy but a tick in the wrong direction.

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

 

[Mr. Golf]

Hi guys. Does anyone have a fzr map accumulation for my area in Arkansas please off of 0znam 12k and 3k

 

[Winter Storm]

Hi guys. Does anyone have a fzr map accumulation for my area in Arkansas please off of 0znam 12k and 3k

 

[Winter Storm]

Hi guys. Does anyone have a fzr map accumulation for my area in Arkansas please off of 0znam 12k and 3k

 

[Mr. Golf]

View attachment 73314

Thanks. One more thing lol. Do you have a sleet map for both?

 

[NWMSGuy]

Any thoughts on why the difference in eastward placement between the 3 & 12km?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

(For the first wave of precip)

 

[Mr. Golf]

If anyone has a 0zgfs sleet and fzr map for Arkansas, I would appreciate it ?

 

[NWMSGuy]

 

[NorthDFWwx]

Latest model trends are definitely concerning for DFW. I'm praying they're wrong.

It can be all fun and games with snow, but ice is a huge no-no, especially since we're headed into the freezer behind it.

 

[Brent]

Latest model trends are definitely concerning for DFW. I'm praying they're wrong.

It can be all fun and games with snow, but ice is a huge no-no, especially since we're headed into the freezer behind it.

Already starting to see the usual iffy areas on the traffic maps and this isn't even the event

I am definitely concerned this could turn into something like 2011 only colder where ice sticks around a couple days

 

[NCSNOW]

 

[NWMSGuy]

My location is now under a Winter Storm Watch. Would either see this being updated to Advisory or Ice Storm warning.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[BufordWX]

Getting some of the coldest freezing rain I’ve ever seen. It is only 20 right now. The trees are already coated in ice.

 

[smast16]

View attachment 73402

32 and Rain may be depicted as freezing rain on the GFS, but In that steady rainfall you'd be lucky to get anything more than a shimmer in the tree tops. God these maps are so bad.

Now what @BufordWX is getting with 20 degrees and raining, now that's freezing rain!