D
Deleted member 1449
Guest
I'm dizzy trying to keep track of each one of these potential events.
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Wintry Feb 11-13 2021 Ice Potential
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
D
Deleted member 1449
Guest
GFS v. 16 is running again...
Looking back the last couple months, the NAM has been doing pretty good with temps at this range. If anything it’s been maybe a couple degrees too warm. This could be a big warning shot if that CAD continues to trend stronger
Jessy89
Member
Well wasn’t expecting that. I think the NAM to cold for upstate sc.
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NAM hammers NC, somewhat of the upstate and Extreme NE GA by SAT am. REally builds down that Wedge late Friday in SAT AM. I drop almost 20 degrees from the start of Friday to the end of FRiday 12-00z
NWMSGuy
Member
Really not sure how to feel about this system yet. Winter Storm Watch just to the north and west. Where and when does the temp drop? HRRR looks to keep the frozen just to the west of the river and north. RGEM keeps saying “hope you are ready for lights out”!
ok, lets do this....see how we do... First date and time/ 18z RUN NAM and 18z RUN GFS and 12z RUN EURO (2/9/2021) Will update this on 00z and 12z runs..What yall think? (use the NAM and GFS 18z runs this time only)
Valid for SAT 6z (2/13/2021)
12z EURO
18z NAM
18Z GFS
Valid for SAT 6z (2/13/2021)
12z EURO
18z NAM
18Z GFS
The new 18 v16 GFS just said “nope” 
Wrong thread but the answer is the same for all events
NWMSGuy
Member
Memphis WFO just expanded their Winter Storm Watch to include two counties in MS, Desoto & Tunica. They have also expanded the Ice Storm Warning. Have a feeling these extensions might not be over just yet.
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
It was better before it went MIA. Toss lol
Can you zoom this out for the whole region
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Colder 18Z euro run for Thursday night/Friday morning event.
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Be really curious to see if the NAM jumps on this at 0Z. Pessimistic till it does.
Pretty obvious which model is probably gonna win 
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
One bigger difference may be the NAM is bringing in precip for round 2 about this time. Euro appears rather dry.
That second round is suspect, it’s driven off WAA, and it can enhance the CAD dome, something to watch
That’s something to watch 
euro moves it in but hours later 
euro moves it in but hours later 
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
All of the sudden Roanoke is watching?