I honestly think I've got a better chance of seeing anything wintry mix wise tomorrow morning than Friday. HRRR is very close in the morning
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Pattern Fail or Fab February 2023 Pattern Thread
- Thread starter Metwannabe
- Start date
TeachLesley
Member
I think maybe the Euro looks interesting at h216.
It certainly has a strong system in this timeframe, probably a good severe setup followed by some backside wintry as it stands right now. Long way to go on this one but it's something at least in the LR
iGRXY
Member
If only this look was sub 150 hours
Not surprising as you get deeper into Feb and closer to March, these systems are gonna be juiced....
I think maybe the Euro looks interesting at h216.
Meh, why not..... Lol
Why is the euro the one giving us our fantasy storms nowadays ?
The Canadian version of the HRRR had that yesterday. It’s backed off though.
Mby begs to differ.
My poor dogs r so tried of this rain.
So there’s five SREF members seeing something.
The thing is those members are all 3” or more.
The thing is those members are all 3” or more.
NCSNOW
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They all hinted at 2/11-2/14 storm on an off. cfs,gfs,can
coldfront22
Member
NCSNOW Wonder how we get a cold air source if the storm is there 2/11-2/14.
I have seen some noise in the valentines day period on the ensmbles periodically as well.
NCSNOW
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Been asking that question all winter and keep getting same answer lol.
Only hope for this, assuming it did pop up is to Miller A, Deeping/bombogenesis, make its own and be on the NW side. Completely different than what we been chasing for the end of this week.
coldfront22
Member
No doubt NCSNOW. It will take one heck of a Miller A. Most long-range forecast are mid 50's to 60's at that time frame. Man, I hope the EURO is on to something.
NCHighCountryWX
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GSP comments
There is a precip-type wrinkle at the
highest elevations that develops by Thursday afternoon, perhaps
the result of dynamic cooling, whereby a nearly isothermal layer
is seen on fcst soundings above 5000 feet or so. It wouldn`t take
much to bring the snow level down to where we could see a changeover
to a heavy wet snow above 5k feet. Suspect it will be snow at the
summit of Mt Mitchell by the end of the daytime period. Elsewhere,
the extensive clouds, precip, and cool air mass will keep high
temps in the mid/upper 40s
There is a precip-type wrinkle at the
highest elevations that develops by Thursday afternoon, perhaps
the result of dynamic cooling, whereby a nearly isothermal layer
is seen on fcst soundings above 5000 feet or so. It wouldn`t take
much to bring the snow level down to where we could see a changeover
to a heavy wet snow above 5k feet. Suspect it will be snow at the
summit of Mt Mitchell by the end of the daytime period. Elsewhere,
the extensive clouds, precip, and cool air mass will keep high
temps in the mid/upper 40s