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Pattern Fail or Fab February 2023 Pattern Thread

iGRXY said:
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CAD for days incoming.
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Not for days but I could see the occasional CAD ruin good strings of 80 degree days. We’re running through warm phases of MJO in a nino February with a string -PNA .. we’re not going to escape impressive warmth. Legit days that could make you sweat. But I agree if we continue to see 50/50 lows popping up along with more -NAO influence we will sprinkle in some cold CAD days .. we’re still going to run ridiculously above normal for a couple weeks. I do think this relentless warm pattern will still break down come early march into mid march as we move away from the warm phases of MJO and introduce a more dominant -NAO .. when does that happen will dictate how long this warmth lasts. One thing is for sure.. the warm air is going to be impressive and stout
 
NickyBGuarantee said:
Not for days but I could see the occasional CAD ruin good strings of 80 degree days. We’re running through warm phases of MJO in a nino February with a string -PNA .. we’re not going to escape impressive warmth. Legit days that could make you sweat. But I agree if we continue to see 50/50 lows popping up along with more -NAO influence we will sprinkle in some cold CAD days .. we’re still going to run ridiculously above normal for a couple weeks. I do think this relentless warm pattern will still break down come early march into mid march as we move away from the warm phases of MJO and introduce a more dominant -NAO .. when does that happen will dictate how long this warmth lasts. One thing is for sure.. the warm air is going to be impressive and stout
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This is beyond the warm up. The warm up is centered around next week. This is beyond that.
 
We are definitely going to blow up high temp records and maybe even high/low temp records next week! Highs in the low to mid 80's in Atlanta with 62 degree dewpoints. I have to say, it sucks that we have to have summer in winter. We have summer for freaking 9 months out of the year, can't we just have our extended fall weather for 3 months? Summer needs to stay out of our winter!
 
weatherfide said:
We are definitely going to blow up high temp records and maybe even high/low temp records next week! Highs in the low to mid 80's in Atlanta with 62 degree dewpoints. I have to say, it sucks that we have to have summer in winter. We have summer for freaking 9 months out of the year, can't we just have our extended fall weather for 3 months? Summer needs to stay out of our winter!
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Unfortunately that’s just how the southeast rolls.


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This run of the GFS blasts the heater next week and then shows a tug of war between the ugly pacific and -NAO


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Myfrotho704_ said:
WOW! parts of northeast alabama must have actually somehow had negative amounts of snow? Huntsville only averages 2.4 inches of snow per year and already they are at a deficit of 6 to 12 inches
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This is over the span of a little over 3 years from October 2019 to February 2023.
 
crecre9 said:
Based on what? Looks appropriate to me for N AL, based on snow amounts and averages. This period covers four winters.
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the Huntsville area got 2 snows over 3 inches in the last couple of winters they only average A LITTLE OVER 2 INCHES PER YEAR,HOW CAN THEY HAVE A 12 TO 24 INCH DEF.? and sw Miss averages less than 1 inch per year. the most they could be short would be 3 inches.?
 
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Next week looks 20-30 degrees above average; there could be many records falling, especially daily lows! Absolutely disgusting for this time of year, though I know many of you like it. GFS (lol) at least showing a general return to more seasonable temps starting Feb 28th for many at least; ready for that!

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Some cold in Canada still, would be nice to be able to tap into that.

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WEATHERBOYROY said:
the Huntsville area got 2 snows over 3 inches in the last couple of winters they only average A LITTLE OVER 2 INCHES PER YEAR,HOW CAN THEY HAVE A 12 TO 24 INCH DEF.? and sw Miss averages less than 1 inch per year. the most they could be short would be 3 inches.?
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Huntsville will likely be right at the average as we approach the end of winter according to the NWS

Areas south of Huntsville are all below average but by no more than a few inches

Total snowfall.PNG
 
WEATHERBOYROY said:
the Huntsville area got 2 snows over 3 inches in the last couple of winters they only average A LITTLE OVER 2 INCHES PER YEAR,HOW CAN THEY HAVE A 12 TO 24 INCH DEF.? and sw Miss averages less than 1 inch per year. the most they could be short would be 3 inches.?
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If you look closely at the map,it shows Huntsville near normal. Which is correct.
 
WEATHERBOYROY said:
the Huntsville area got 2 snows over 3 inches in the last couple of winters they only average A LITTLE OVER 2 INCHES PER YEAR,HOW CAN THEY HAVE A 12 TO 24 INCH DEF.? and sw Miss averages less than 1 inch per year. the most they could be short would be 3 inches.?
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Also, the max deficit shown in Alabama is 6-12, not 12-24, so that's definitely reasonable for NE AL, which has missed out on several the events I've had at my house.
 
NCSNOW said:
Better hope no more frost or freeze. Our avg last freeze is April 20. No peaches,strawberries this year,barring a miracle.
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Better yet, stop hoping for these out of season heat waves that bring everything out early when we know there will be more freezes later. Just enjoy the chances for cool/cold weather when we have them, the heat will come later regardless.

I know, I know... what we hope for has no bearing but still...
 
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