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Pattern Fabulous February

GaWx said:
Absolutely. Furthermore, hopefully this suckyastic trend to SE ridge will reverse soon.
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For some reason, the people on twitter are very confident on a HLB regime setting up soon. Something to do with AAM descending final SSW.
 
Ah, the classic BBS. My, those days were much easier than this web 2.004389428342.482314 stuff.

Anyways, great to see some kind of ensembles with snow through here soon. Maybe the Euro was onto something. At this point in the Midlands, we'd be happy with a simple 2-4 inch snow event with no temp issues.

Wait. We are Hell. We won't ever have snow again.
 
More GEFS members showed a system for the first of the month, it seemed like it was a tick north, but with the way the GEFS is showing this system, it seems like it's going to be a matter of time before the GFS comes out with something significant. It's already close to showing something I think.

Seems like it's an ice threat though.
 
GeorgiaGirl said:
More GEFS members showed a system for the first of the month, it seemed like it was a tick north, but with the way the GEFS is showing this system, it seems like it's going to be a matter of time before the GFS comes out with something significant. It's already close to showing something I think.

Seems like it's an ice threat though.
Click to expand...
OP models are at least in early agreement that the western ridge breaks down and pushes east behind our s/w for this time frame. 850’s are completely eroded. The only thing that could make this work is if the breakdown of the ridge happens slower than modeled and we can hold on by the skin of our teeth. I’m fairly certain that isn’t possible though. And this is all assuming we have a favorable low track (or a low at all) and surface temps that cooperate...woe is me
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
OP models are at least in early agreement that the western ridge breaks down and pushes east behind our s/w for this time frame. 850’s are completely eroded. The only thing that could make this work is if the breakdown of the ridge happens slower than modeled and we can hold on by the skin of our teeth. I’m fairly certain that isn’t possible though. And this is all assuming we have a favorable low track (or a low at all) and surface temps that cooperate...woe is me
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Feb 1-3 timeframe, clipper now!! Winning
 
The 6Z GFS suite and FV3 look like SE ridge dominated dumpster fires 2/3+. Hopefully, this ugly pattern will reverse soon after it starts.
 
Heck if it keeps going like this just as well bring on spring, if I have cold I want snow, no snow I want warm.
 
Not ideal
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