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Pattern Fabulous February

There are people here that can vouch for wisdom? I knew I loved this weather board for a reason!

That last GFS run was crazy and too bad it has to be discounted on the surface. Rarely would I say that I would be happy with a mere 10% of that output. FV3 was too far north for me so, I'm thinking that's the model closer to reality for once. The EURO just simply hates Georgia this year.
 
South Carolina needs to watch that line of storms tomorrow, too. SPC has nothing in the Southeast, not even a marginal risk right now.

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
 
Speaking of that system, it’s still something that areas north of I-40 in nc can still possibly sneak in, energy for it was weaker this run tho
932121D3-126E-482E-B5A5-D1EFFECF42BD.pngE4D2C554-BB46-4018-95B6-98BD410D8CF0.jpeg
 
Hawaii recorded there lowest elevation snow ever. 6,000 ft level. Highest peak is 13,000 so not uncommon. But to get down to 6000 is pretty impressive.
 
Yep, the appetizer!! Roxboro special!DB3C8C53-AF3B-44CF-90DC-A915DA4E7002.png
 
Wow Saturday went from BN temps on GFS 12 hours ago, to absolute blowtorch for ATL.


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And it’s trending towards a solution where high pressure is able to build in. Just think that ridge is a little much

Yeah if the positive heights didn't start rising I could see that look with a HP working. Only ask is the SE ridge being weaker. It's a tough ask (hahahaha, no).

Edit: This look will be a major front end thump of snow for parts of NC.
 
Cyclonic wave breaking towards the Azores Islands next week on both the EPS and GEFS is usually a precursor to an impending -NAO at least in the following week as a high builds over Scandinavia in response to the big wave break here near the Azores and retrogrades westward towards Greenland. This might be one of our only remaining hopes we have to get out of this crummy pattern before mid March.

ecmwf-ens_z500a_atl_11.png
 
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