This MSLP look is mildly intriguing
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Pattern Fabulous February
- Thread starter PEA_RIDGE
- Start date
packfan98
Moderator
Nice wave of precip. Looks to change the I-85 corridor to snow at hr 195
That would be historic for many on this run.
packfan98
Moderator
27.1” so far on the clown map for central Alabama...
Nice move in the right direction if you want snow in the Carolinas. Need high pressure to move east and build in just a smidge more. Pinch that low off in the gulf. Not sure how easily we can move from a western south overrunning setup to an eastern overrunning setup. Seems difficult inside 200 but a nice improvement from 12z
Storm5
Member
Lmao over 30 inches
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GeorgiaGirl
Member
Hahahaha oh my. Alabama peeps, might want to save this:
Since this storm is from southern stream, a +nao would actually be better so you won’t get a amped up monster low and you can get more of a weaker sheared wave, am I correct ? 
Storm5
Member
Oh and still going
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Unreal run, holy hell
Y’all, I can’t move right now after seeing that run. 35+ inches IMBY. I am speechless. Im saving this clown map for my whole life and bringing it out on Valentine’s Day.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Storm5
Member
I’ll take this and give the site to brick
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Going to be saving the 12z and 18z model runs. Lol. Of Course it is for the archives ..
OH MY GOSH!
Hand the keys over. ????I’ll take this and give the site to brick
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Well the gfs shocked me. It showed too runs of snow.
Stormlover
Member
38.6 inches max, lol
Just for fun, here’s a sounding in that death band
Storm5
Member
I’m tossing this run , MBY is only in the twenty something range .
NW trend for the win !
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30+ inches for me. I’m never changing my avatar and I’ll never be the same after this. Why in the world has the gfs done this back to back runs
No doubt this was a step in the right direction @Jimmy Hypocracy, maybe a tad, tiny bit weaker SER then boom ?
Jessy89
Member
No doubt this was a step in the right direction @Jimmy Hypocracy, maybe a tad, tiny bit weaker SER then boomView attachment 15495
Maybe step in right direction. But certainly not a South Carolina upstate snow storm
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Same run DK
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Just give me the 8 inches of snow and I'll cash out. Or just one run that decimates ATL and N GA. I just want to be in the 2 feet area once LOL. Looks to me that this solution is only produced because of the SER aiding in moisture flow with a perfectly timed cold press. I put my money on the SER growing and shoving this system into nonexistence, but it's fun to ponder.
RollTide18
Member
Most of that is snow/sleet too, lmao this is the best run I've ever seen. GFS basically paints a once in a thousand year winter storm for I-20/59, will be saving that for sure.
NWMSGuy
Member
Being south of Memphis with this run could be a good thing. I'll wait for the northwest trend. 
Nope. Bad setup for us. Might look good on surface maps but we’re a long long long way off. Very low probability atm. I’d say anywhere from NW GA to Chicago is still in the game at this point
Oh yeah I didn’t really see what the upstate had, this run gave me a foot plus of paste in rowan county in nc, lol, I needa stay with what I said and not be exciting about this, just something to watch
whizrtr
Member
Holy lord if that clown map makes its way to social media lolz
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
Member
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The appetizer
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
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I think you would be in trouble, if there doesn’t start to be a wedge with this!? Those mountains are tall
Fv3 looks like it maybe improved based off sfc maps, want to see 500mb maps before i can say it truly improved
Funny thing is to is that I realized I might be near Richmond va for a family reunion,(still don’t know exact time) so I win anyways ? lolol
What’s is discouraging is most of NC can still score with late cold air. Especially areas north of 85 in NC. We can’t do it. Maybe a backend dusting if the stars align in a setup like this
Even here it’s a problem, onset rain/sleet sticks around longer than normal but yeah we can still get a good storm off that type of setup, but I would prefer a CAD anytime over it
I think the big question is have we reached the southern extent of our possible outcomes? Do we only tick north from here with a SER that only blossoms as we near verification? That seems to be the theme the past several weeks. SER has been trending stronger inside 200. It can’t keep doing that though can it?
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
As a few others have alluded to above, the GFS wasn't that far off from producing some snow in the piedmont of north-central NC around Day 5 this Saturday night w/ a trailing, very strong s/w that comes in late on Sat into Sat night. If the wave can come in about 8-12 hours slower, this could end up producing a nice little bit of snow for a few folks. Still a little ways to go here but worth watching...
Bama Ravens
Member
I'll take my 30 inches and check out now.
lol I saw that and instantly checked 500mb Vort maps and soundings, interesting for sure