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Pattern Fabulous February

GaWx said:
The SE ridge on the 12Z EPS never goes away. I'm in awe of the power and persistence of the SER. What a force to reckon with! Did I ever mention my intense dislike for -PNAs? After 2/10, there are no days in the SE with colder than normal. Most days are warmer than normal but a few are near normal. Welcome bugs!
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Sucks that it looks wet as well, not good for golf. I'm sick of cart path only!!
 
In his morning video, sounds like JB has finally thrown in the towel for the SE for this winter. He never comes out and says as much, but is now focusing all the potential snows from DC north by zeroing in on the 1994 Analog. He shows the maps for that year and the SE stays above normal the whole time in Feb and March with only a trace SN amount. I remember 94 and while cold in Jan, all we got were a lot of cutters or Miller B's with a big mess of wintry precip and rain mixed. Feb and March didn't have much of anything frozen
 
MichaelJ said:
In his morning video, sounds like JB has finally thrown in the towel for the SE for this winter. He never comes out and says as much, but is now focusing all the potential snows from DC north by zeroing in on the 1994 Analog. He shows the maps for that year and the SE stays above normal the whole time in Feb and March with only a trace SN amount. I remember 94 and while cold in Jan, all we got were a lot of cutters or Miller B's with a big mess of wintry precip and rain mixed. Feb and March didn't have much of anything frozen
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Everybody with 2 initials (and 3 and 4 and 5) blew it ... but there is always a Holiday Inn Express next year ... LOL ...
 
LetItSnow said:
One more person has to die...
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At least the Roman Templar Viking Mason French English Pirates left clues. When Goofy can't even get the 0 line to Perry, much less Cuba, you know we have troubles :) Cooled off some today. 57 right now, so I don't feel near as bad as yesterday. I can pretend it's Oct instead of early Feb.
 
Tabbing through individual EPS members there are quite a few with NC snow in the 10-14 day range. We have seen this fake news before, but at least some members still see some thread the needle chances.
 
dsaur said:
At least the Roman Templar Viking Mason French English Pirates left clues. When Goofy can't even get the 0 line to Perry, much less Cuba, you know we have troubles :) Cooled off some today. 57 right now, so I don't feel near as bad as yesterday. I can pretend it's Oct instead of early Feb.
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Tony,
Ma' Nature has, I think, given up on us seniors ... :eek:
 
pcbjr said:
Tony,
Ma' Nature has, I think, given up on us seniors ... :eek:
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Lol, I keep hoping this winter is a senior moment, and not real. Senility might be better than winterless winters, but I'm sharp as a tack, and suffering, lol. If it was 80 here yesterday, what was it down there in Phil Land?
 
dsaur said:
Lol, I keep hoping this winter is a senior moment, and not real. Senility might be better than winterless winters, but I'm sharp as a tack, and suffering, lol. If it was 80 here yesterday, what was it down there in Phil Land?
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85º as we speak ... :mad: ... but supposed to 65º tomorrow ... :)... then back up ... :(
Been thinkin' (a dangerous proposition) ... the cyclical weather started getting really crappy just as the music did likewise a few years ago ... correlation?
Best!
Phil
 
pcbjr said:
85º as we speak ... :mad: ... but supposed to 65º tomorrow ... :)... then back up ... :(
Been thinkin' (a dangerous proposition) ... the cyclical weather started getting really crappy just as the music did likewise a few years ago ... correlation?
Best!
Phil
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Prevailing winds, and ocean currents geared to music? Which music? Symphonic, punk, new wave, classic rock, popular, or polka?? Would symphonic punk polka save us all????
 
dsaur said:
Prevailing winds, and ocean currents geared to music? Which music? Symphonic, punk, new wave, classic rock, popular, or polka?? Would symphonic punk polka save us all????
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No ... though polka is pretty good at 1:00 AM in Michigan
... was more thinking of Jerry's demise ...

~~~~~~~~

Cold Rain and Snow ...
 
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WXinCanton said:
When is the deadline? After the 12Z runs Sunday IIRC?
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Correct. By some time around then, the models should see the SOI crash and the MJO moving around the horn. If we aren’t seeing better maps by then, then we will be looking at probably 4 weeks until some sort of change. Who knows if that would even be favorable. We’ll be in March, and I can’t imagine a cold and wintry March. Tick tock.
 
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Saw a picture of cherry trees blooming in Salisbury today on Facebook. Playing golf Sunday. On to the next
 
Maybe it’s just me or being in the upper south, but I don’t feel like it looks impossible to get a snow storm here at some point in the next few weeks. Sure there’s warm days but cold days seem to come quickly back unlike this last warm up / torch. Basically a lot of back and forth the next few weeks. Heck last February I was still plenty cold at this time but with a big torch about to hit mid month. This time the long torch came early in February so to me there’s still some hope to get a decent snow.

Edit: This is purely going off the gfs runs of late. I feel like a storm could show up 3-4 days out as the cold never retreats to far away.
 
To add to my post above, I seem to recall the later we get in the season the more likely it is to get a storm to show up all of the sudden 4-5 days out. I could be wrong but it feels like that happens more often as we approach mid February and early March. Obviously the cold air can’t be to far away and it seems like it won’t be over the next week or two.
 
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