Jessy89
Member
18z GEFS tries to give a little hope for next weekend for a possible overrunning event for many on the board.
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Who’s would be at play for such a scenario?
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18z GEFS tries to give a little hope for next weekend for a possible overrunning event for many on the board.
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How about Greenville sc18z GEFS tries to give a little hope for next weekend for a possible overrunning event for many on the board.
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The last 48 hours or so have shown a decided warming trend for the SE US in week 2. I sure hope this is a reversable hiccup!
And what's with today's 0Z GEFS AO and MJO forecats? Yuck! Was the GEFS drunk? It and the EPS both forecasting phase 7 week 2 but the GEFS has a very strong amp and the EPS has a very weak one. Talk about model consensus. GEFS has been wildly jumping around from day to day vs the steadier EPS though even it has been delaying falling back to the COD. Just a few days ago, GEFS was predicting it curling back into phase 6 inside COD!!
Gawx, do we hope the eps pans out with the mjo progression at this point?
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I hope so but its own 11-15, with a SE ridge, absolutely sucks.
Do you think we eventually go back to cold in February?I am further west from you larry back in Arkansas not sure that makes any difference
Let the ops hold of until the 4-6 day time frame if they wait till then to show a storm then u know we have something to track18z GEFS tries to give a little hope for next weekend for a possible overrunning event for many on the board.
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Don’t mean to bother but it’s hard to read the fuzzy ensemble snow maps sometimes so can you post one of those for Macon?18z GEFS tries to give a little hope for next weekend for a possible overrunning event for many on the board.
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Don’t mean to bother but it’s hard to read the fuzzy ensemble snow maps sometimes so can you post one of those for Macon?
I am further west from you larry back in Arkansas not sure that makes any difference
Do you think we eventually go back to cold in February?
Holy smokes we actually have a poster from Arkansas. I guess I cant be sarcastic about that anymore.
Forgive my ignorance but what is BB?Golfer from Ark has been an on again off again poster almost since inception of this BB though his name might have changed slightly.
Forgive my ignorance but what is BB?
Old school forum: BB=Bulletin Board. The OG social network.Forgive my ignorance but what is BB?
Absolutely. Furthermore, hopefully this suckyastic trend to SE ridge will reverse soon.
For some reason, the people on twitter are very confident on a HLB regime setting up soon. Something to do with AAM descending final SSW.
Very well playedOld school forum: BB=Bulletin Board. The OG social network.
OP models are at least in early agreement that the western ridge breaks down and pushes east behind our s/w for this time frame. 850’s are completely eroded. The only thing that could make this work is if the breakdown of the ridge happens slower than modeled and we can hold on by the skin of our teeth. I’m fairly certain that isn’t possible though. And this is all assuming we have a favorable low track (or a low at all) and surface temps that cooperate...woe is meMore GEFS members showed a system for the first of the month, it seemed like it was a tick north, but with the way the GEFS is showing this system, it seems like it's going to be a matter of time before the GFS comes out with something significant. It's already close to showing something I think.
Seems like it's an ice threat though.
Feb 1-3 timeframe, clipper now!! WinningOP models are at least in early agreement that the western ridge breaks down and pushes east behind our s/w for this time frame. 850’s are completely eroded. The only thing that could make this work is if the breakdown of the ridge happens slower than modeled and we can hold on by the skin of our teeth. I’m fairly certain that isn’t possible though. And this is all assuming we have a favorable low track (or a low at all) and surface temps that cooperate...woe is me
Our best snows come in March! March 1960 FTWThe 6Z GFS suite and FV3 look like SE ridge dominated dumpster fires 2/3+. Hopefully, this ugly pattern will reverse soon after it starts.
Cool and rain spring with temperatures in the 40s and 50s for the mockOur best snows come in March! March 1960 FTW
Hell storm sums up this winter outside of NC in a nutshellBest chance of a white ground. Is a spring hell storm at this point.
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Yeah. Looks like you’re stuck in the 40’s. You can drive to my house for some upper 60’s if you want?Not ideal![]()
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Not ideal![]()
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Why stop at your house when he can drive to Phil's house for some low to mid 80s !Yeah. Looks like you’re stuck in the 40’s. You can drive to my house for some upper 60’s if you want?