• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Pattern Fabulous February

Myfrotho704_ said:
Those highs to our north are no joke, they will likely be strong, but can we get get a classical CAD setup, I hope not as WAA aloft from the SER would quickly change things to ice, I see more in-situ setup with maybe some quick front end ice but that’s a if, it’s definitely something to watch tho
Click to expand...
You nailed it..onset
CEA380A7-EE0F-4352-BCE1-92FBC7F50A39.gif
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
FV3 showed trace accums in Texas and nothing in the other parts of the south. Those NOAA maps are easy on the eyes but pretty misleading looking at surface maps
Click to expand...

the Euro was hinting at something to the south(just our luck up here that'd verify) but so far temps are so borderline plus limited moisture its hard to see much
 
Lol i dont know what y’all are talking about the Fv3 is the only model other than Euro consistent in not having a very strong SER and beating it up pretty well.. I’ve haven’t really been seeing the “wild” swings y’all do.. sure some moisture on some model runs match up with a high pressure but the model hasn’t backed off on the idea of a small warming period
 
Don't know about yall, but I've been keeping and eye on this small event last few runs.
gfs_asnow_seus_21.png
 
Webberweather53 said:
The Kamchatka trough I've been talking about the last several days dug considerably more on this 0z EPS run and what a huge surprise (/s), look what happens to the downstream pattern over the NE Pacific and North America.
View attachment 14951
Click to expand...

Lol my high has worn off, anyways Big improvement, continue this trend, PNA starting to slowly improve aswell
 
This -EPO/-PNA couplet is relentless.

We desperately need a +PNA or at least a neutral PNA. When this goes neutral is when our next chance will be. Maybe we can salvage the last 10 says or week of Feb.

a81af20a043357fd1ffd4c2d3803eacc.jpg

668dfafaabdd6a59b3fce64ec6aa8b91.jpg

1ee21745a147737692b9caa09f1dad87.jpg



Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Folks, check out the 6Z GEFS hours 360-384. That’s a legit strong +PNA with cold moving into the SE! Yes, those funny looking blue colors actually move in. This is by a good margin the best looking GEFS of any run for around that period. If this happens, could we get one of those blockbuster late Feb/early March weak El Niño finishes to winter? Even way on down in the Deep South we have gotten major events as late as the first week in March, including SAV’s 2nd heaviest snow of alltime and another storm that gave major ZR to much of inland SE GA and S SC. In addition, SAV in 1986 got over 1” of snow at the start of March and some ZR in the near boardwide event of 3/2/1980 (weak Niño). And don’t forget the 2/25/1914 weak El Niño near boardwide major winter storm from a very far south Miller A GOM track. As Yogi Berra supposedly once said, winter’s not over til winter is over.
 
GaWx said:
Folks, check out the 6Z GEFS hours 360-384. That’s a legit strong +PNA with cold moving into the SE! Yes, those funny looking blue colors actually move in. This is by a good margin the best looking GEFS of any run for around that period. If this happens, could we get one of those blockbuster late Feb/early March weak El Niño finishes to winter? Even way on down in the Deep South we have gotten major events as late as the first week in March, including SAV’s 2nd heaviest snow of alltime and another storm that gave major ZR to much of inland SE GA and S SC. In addition, SAV in 1986 got over 1” of snow at the start of March and some ZR in the near boardwide event of 3/2/1980 (weak Niño). And don’t forget the 2/25/1914 weak El Niño near boardwide major winter storm from a very far south Miller A GOM track. As Yogi Berra supposedly once said, winter’s not over til winter is over.
Click to expand...
I am having a hard time remembering that one storm in 1914 for some reason.....
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top