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Pattern Fabulous February

Sleet City USA said:
I'll take this
gfs_wnatl_264_snodpth_chng.gif
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That's mostly ice and sleet, that's why it shows high snowfall amounts, which it's not snow. I recommend not to fall for that clown map.
 
packfan98 said:
It definitely looks like there could be a CAD storm left to go this winter.
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is that what we're left with? ... yup, probably based on current dynamics ... stressing "current" ...

... in other words, there's always room for ...
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
Sleetfest. Pass
View attachment 14438
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Not a good setup if you want a pure snow event honestly. The evolution on the fv is driven by a low amplitude wave and strong waa over the existing surface cold. Would be the typical snow to sleet to freezing rain/ rain for many

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Its going to be interesting to see how things start to resolve on the models in the coming days. We could easily see the models stronger with the mid week system next week and flatten the above normal heights in the SE leaving us cold and dry ahead of the next rain maker early the next week. Conversely they could be too strong with the wave and the SE ridge flexes more and we are above normal and rainy. If we do happen to hit the sweet spot like the gfs/fv3 show the timing and amplitude of the disturbances embedded in the stj riding under the ridge in the pacific will change run to run so wild run to run changes are bound to happen. Its certainly an interesting period and one I personally am a little excited about. Give me an active STJ and cold readily available across southern canada and the northern us any winter and I will take my chances.

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SD said:
Not a good setup if you want a pure snow event honestly. The evolution on the fv is driven by a low amplitude wave and strong waa over the existing surface cold. Would be the typical snow to sleet to freezing rain/ rain for many

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Click to expand...

December repeat but colder at the sfc? Based off what fv is showing
 
SD said:
Its going to be interesting to see how things start to resolve on the models in the coming days. We could easily see the models stronger with the mid week system next week and flatten the above normal heights in the SE leaving us cold and dry ahead of the next rain maker early the next week. Conversely they could be too strong with the wave and the SE ridge flexes more and we are above normal and rainy. If we do happen to hit the sweet spot like the gfs/fv3 show the timing and amplitude of the disturbances embedded in the stj riding under the ridge in the pacific will change run to run so wild run to run changes are bound to happen. Its certainly an interesting period and one I personally am a little excited about. Give me an active STJ and cold readily available across southern canada and the northern us any winter and I will take my chances.

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Click to expand...

You really should be working more and not worrying about the weather


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