Pattern Fabulous February

[snowlover91]

You mean the euro ? Cause the FV3 sucks


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Fv3 and Euro are the top two models for verification scores. Fv3 is much better than GFS and has been better at times than the Euro.

We are inside 200 hours now with a general threat window of February 8-10th showing up on models. Fun times ahead!

 

[Myfrotho704_]

You mean the euro ? Cause the FV3 sucks


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Yeahhh... but no fr I was talking about the FV ?

 

[jackendrickwx]

I'll take this

 

[Webberweather53]

Congrats Louisiana then

DGEX is that u?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I'll take this

Wait wutttt, was that after the first interesting system ?

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

I'll take this

Nope here’s the DGEX. Wowzer @Webberweather53

 

[Darklordsuperstorm]

DGEX is that u?

Thought I had seen a ghost ???

 

[Storm5]

Fv3 and Euro are the top two models for verification scores. Fv3 is much better than GFS and has been better at times than the Euro.

We are inside 200 hours now with a general threat window of February 8-10th showing up on models. Fun times ahead!

I’ve seen the statistical graphics . And at H5 it has been doing well at certain leads . I’m still salty from Monday night to be honest . I hope some on the board score something nice over the next few weeks . I’ve set my expectations at zero


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[ForsythSnow]

I'll take this

95% ice I bet? The clown maps are fun, but I'm not buying a ticket to this circus yet.

 

[pcbjr]

I’ve set my expectations at zero

Far more optimistic than Hogtown, and that's for damn sure ...

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

Wait wutttt, was that after the first interesting system ?

Yes. I noted that the FV3 was going for another system after the first one in an earlier post.

It will mostly be ice I believe.

 

[jackendrickwx]

Wait wutttt, was that after the first interesting system ?

252 and on won't load for precip.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Lol I can already see the WAA, just like what @snowlover91 said that SER will be a issue, gonna cause more ice

 

[$alt]

yeah. cae is still hell for those wondering:





And the clown maps above are just a sleet/zr storm for us.

 

[BufordWX]

 

[snowlover91]

I’ve seen the statistical graphics . And at H5 it has been doing well at certain leads . I’m still salty from Monday night to be honest . I hope some on the board score something nice over the next few weeks . I’ve set my expectations at zero


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I like the Fv3 inside 7 days, it is usually the first to pick up on H5 changes and trends from the storms I’ve followed closely. It’s thermal profiles are suspect at times with a cold bias in the extended range from what I’ve seen but it’s a great model for getting a picture of the overall 5H setup.

Hopefully the FV3 is right and we can get a board wide storm soon!

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Sleetfest. Pass

 

[snowlover91]

Lol I can already see the WAA, just like what @snowlover91 said that SER will be a issue, gonna cause more ice
View attachment 14435

Yep the upcoming pattern favors ice over snow, that SER is going to have warm air trying to overtake the cold air. Could see a big ice storm if the HP is strong and in a good spot.

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

FV3 at 240 on the 500 map:

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

This is at least encouraging if nothing else. NS looks calm around this timeframe. Nice HP to work with if you believe what you’re looking at