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Pattern Fabulous February

So when does our next window for wintry weather start? Seems like the next 2 weeks are a no go. After that?
Id keep an eye on next weekend. Not much jumping off the page but swinging the northern stream through and building in a near 1040 high with an active stj is at least enough to wonder about. Chances are though its an insitu or dying wedge in the cad regions and a less cold rain elsewhere. After that its probably 2/15-2/20

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That ice storm in the Carolinas looks crippling on fv3. Of course it won’t verify


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So when does our next window for wintry weather start? Seems like the next 2 weeks are a no go. After that?
I'm not sure about anyone else, but I'm watching the 6th - 8th window. No winter storm is there on the models, but that's the next window for another cold shot.
 
Two fantasy storms on FV3. CAD setup at 270 and a TN/Carolinas + north AL/MS storm at 360
 
Two fantasy storms on FV3. CAD setup at 270 and a TN/Carolinas + north AL/MS storm at 360

Well, at least we have some fantasy storms out there, but it is way out there in lala land. Maybe we will actually get one now that it isn't all about the polar vortex and extreme cold.
 
Special weather statement just put out for a possible dusting of snow tonight up here. Obviously with very frigid temps it will stick to everything if it does snow. Temp is at 23 and will only go down so maybe I’ll do better tonight as nothing stuck last night. I’m not liking the 50s and 60s showing up this weekend into next week that’s for sure. Hopefully it’s short lived as some models are hinting.
 
Should we fall for it again?? I want too. But like 90 percent of us got burned on this last event. View attachment 14359

Well at least this one doesn’t look like cold chasing moisture, cause no way am I falling for a cold chasing moisture set up again. Plus, there’s a high in the plains with this one so we wouldn’t have to be reliant on the PV.
 
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