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Pattern Dry July 2024

Downeastnc said:
MHX put a flood watch on us...calling for a slow moving training line of storms right over the central coastal plains...
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That is most likely happening. There will be plenty of storms from northeast NC southwest across the SC midlands into central GA that will only slowly move east with 2-4 inches of rain for many. Meanwhile it'll be mostly dry back to the west today. Hopefully we can get something back this way on Thursday, because after that we start to dry out and heat back up.
 
There goes any chance of rain for tomorrow too since GSP expects low clouds over the area again. If we do not get something Thursday, we will have to wait a long time for rain here. The NAM, GFS, and Euro are simply wrong. Right now, only the HRRR matters.
 
JHS said:
The GFS and Euro have not really backed off but are mostly wrong. Only the HRRR can be trusted right now.
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I guess it just matters where you’re at because the 3kNAM has done very well in my area the last few days. I had another 1.2” overnight… the 4th straight with over an inch and I’m actually closing in on 9 for the month
 
Chazwin said:
I guess it just matters where you’re at because the 3kNAM has done very well in my area the last few days. I had another 1.2” overnight… the 4th straight with over an inch and I’m actually closing in on 9 for the month
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We have not had more than .05 in any 1 event since July 7 here. Just trace amount mostly. BTW the heat is coming back this weekend along with drier weather. CAE is already talking about heat advisories and warnings in their area with near 100 degree highs there.
 
Thunderstorms in my area popping up along the seabreeze front. Thundering here. Could be a doozy.
 
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It’s a repeat of Saturday evening here (which gave me just over 2”) including nearby CTG lightning:

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
445 PM EDT MON JUL 22 2024

GAC051-222245-
/O.NEW.KCHS.FA.Y.0048.240722T2045Z-240722T2245Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHATHAM GA-
445 PM EDT MON JUL 22 2024

..FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM EDT THIS EVENING

* WHAT...FLOODING CAUSED BY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS EXPECTED.

* WHERE...A PORTION OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA, INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
COUNTY, CHATHAM.

* WHEN...UNTIL 645 PM EDT.

* IMPACTS...MINOR FLOODING IN LOW-LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- AT 444 PM EDT, DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO
THUNDERSTORMS. MINOR FLOODING IS ONGOING OR EXPECTED TO BEGIN
SHORTLY IN THE ADVISORY AREA. BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES OF RAIN
HAVE FALLEN BETWEEN DOWNTOWN SAVANNAH AND CHATHAM CITY.
- ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
OVER THE AREA. THIS ADDITIONAL RAIN WILL RESULT IN MINOR
FLOODING.
 
Just like on Saturday evening:

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
517 PM EDT MON JUL 22 2024

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON

.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.

..REMARKS..

0510 PM FLOOD SAVANNAH 32.05N 81.08W
07/22/2024 CHATHAM GA 911 CALL CENTER

EMERGENCY RESPONDERS AND TRAFFIC MAPS ARE REPORTING
SEVERAL FLOODED ROADWAYS ACROSS THE SAVANNAH METRO AREA
DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL. SEVERAL VEHICLES ARE FLOODED.
 
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