So far the HRRR is doing horrible. I'm still going to look at it, but it seems to be suggesting the main line will have no trouble developing and causing issues, while in reality, its a mess and it's not developing. I've already thrown the NAM in the trash.
While it's having trouble with the storms itself, it's nailing the dry slug of air that is killing off everything south of it. Probably take a happy medium and use it for storm location only.