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Pattern December to Remember

NoSnowATL said:
Sitting at 50 and cloudy. BN today. Oops
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Haven't you learned? We don't talk about the now, how dare you, we only talk about D8 and beyond. Come to think of it though, this will be nice when we finally are roasting our chestnuts off, we will actually be talking about the upcoming cold so it won't seem so bad ?
 
GaWx said:
We’re not going to get into the cold without first getting into the warmth in this kind of pattern.

Speaking of warmth, the 12Z Euro is also a warmer run. Great news for getting outside and having fun.
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This is very true… it also would not suprise me to see a significant severe weather outbreak as the pattern starts to change. I can remember a couple times in the 90s when a mild pattern broke down and brought some big thunderstorms ahead of the cold.
 
Webberweather53 said:
holy ?

1639634400-Z5v6UI4kP6k.png
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RIP Dallas and Charlotte...
 
metwannabe said:
Haven't you learned? We don't talk about the now, how dare you, we only talk about D8 and beyond. Come to think of it though, this will be nice when we finally are roasting our chestnuts off, we will actually be talking about the upcoming cold so it won't seem so bad ?
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Theoretically there could be an mPing tomorrow as well. somewhere in Granville county probably . Torches don’t mPing!
 
Webberweather53 said:
The pattern on today's CFSv2 was very weenie looking after Christmas.

30-day mean pattern from the Winter Solstice to about MLK Day is just about as good looking as it gets.

1642723200-U5oNmxrm8vo.png
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For the sake of sanity, do not share that with JB ...

Well, it's JB, of course, but since I fully expect to see nothing worthwhile south of Tifton anytime until ... I'm tempeted to hang my hat on this and that and exacerbate my disappointment ... LOL ... :


"Amazing how severe outbreaks late Dec 67- jan 1968, Jan 1985, Jan 1996 were preceded by similar set ups, Its as if the pattern that begets US warmth is the very signal, that once pattern evolves, that is followed by extreme cold. Players are there to take the field"

...

"while the nation is warm the next 10-15 there are things lining up that we are telling anyone that will listen that major, perhaps extreme cold, is going to invade the nation Dec 20-jan 20. MJO, Pacific oscillations analogs to past year, strat vortex split. too much to ignore"
 
pcbjr said:
For the sake of sanity, do not share that with JB ...

Well, it's JB, of course, but since I fully expect to see nothing worthwhile south of Tifton anytime until ... I'm tempeted to hang my hat on this and that and exacerbate my disappointment ... LOL ... :


"Amazing how severe outbreaks late Dec 67- jan 1968, Jan 1985, Jan 1996 were preceded by similar set ups, Its as if the pattern that begets US warmth is the very signal, that once pattern evolves, that is followed by extreme cold. Players are there to take the field"

...

"while the nation is warm the next 10-15 there are things lining up that we are telling anyone that will listen that major, perhaps extreme cold, is going to invade the nation Dec 20-jan 20. MJO, Pacific oscillations analogs to past year, strat vortex split. too much to ignore"
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Jb is that you? Lol
 
Some notes about interesting times ahead, considering winter weather.

Even though, there is a La Nina, the STJ is still active and transporting warm moist air in the upper levels - the STJ is originating from ENSO region 4, were there is warm SSTs. It appears that the stream would continue to deliver/transport warm moist air in the upper levels. I think we'll see above normal precipitation in the coming weeks (Dec. 17th - 22nd and possibly after) due to the differences of air masses from the northern stream and the STJ, numerous of weather systems would develop along the boundary because of fronts setting up and a moist upper flow. An active STJ can be a good thing and bad depending on how you look at it and on whether you want to see winter weather. I think we're headed into some interesting times in the very near future.
 
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Webberweather53 said:
Wow those are absolutely beautiful, I especially like the choice of colors and smoothed/coherent look of the HRRR plot. I hope these become readily accessible at some point because they're extremely eye-catching.
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It's the WSV3 program but I'm really just starting to dig into what I can do with it and how I can manipulate it, sometimes I just want to smash my laptop on the ground because it can get frustrating to me. The original goal was to push images/loops to our socials and a southernwx web page but there is a little red tape involved that im trying to get confirmation on that we are good to go before really looking into it. I believe Brad P uses it for a lot of his social media videos he's far better with the program than me.
 
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