Pattern December to Remember

[NickyBGuarantee]

There’s that pesky little piece of energy that’s been popping up on the gfs that’s the catalysts to such a big jump in SER strength as it dives south into the west pumping that bad boy … the CMC doesn’t see it at all and I’m assuming we don’t get screwed as much as the run continues but we will see

 

[SD]

It'll make its own cold

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

GEFS got exciting again .. almost all at least bring a sizeable winterstorm to the Ohio valley which the operational is clueless on .. I think once again we have to toss that operational

 

[Myfrotho704_]

It'll make its own coldView attachment 96494

Wtf looks like a May height pattern

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Hello there

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

It'll make its own coldView attachment 96494

Poor little guy all on his own and no one wants to play with him

 

[SD]

Wtf looks like a May height pattern

Sadly it's an improvement height wise vs 6z

 

[Webberweather53]

Merry Torchmas. Can't wait to go to the beach and hit the links for Christmas.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Maycember , you know you suck when your cutoff has 570dm lowest ??

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Merry Torchmas. Can't wait to go to the beach and hit the links for Christmas.

We still have 10 days to fix this after this long range image

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Maycember , you know you suck when your cutoff has 570dm lowest ??View attachment 96497

Top 3 Warmest December 2021.

 

[Webberweather53]

GFS Ensemble looks like utter failure in the medium-range

"Wow! Look at all that cold air to our northwest... annnddd it's gone"

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

GFS Ensemble looks like utter failure in the medium-range

"Wow! Look at all that cold air to our northwest... annnddd it's gone"

View attachment 96498

That’s what a SER going to do

 

[Webberweather53]

Yep, the 6z GEFS improvement was a mirage. Got pimp slapped by the 12z

 

[NCSNOW]

I think a lot of this ties into old climo. We had a really long stretch (decades?) where the pacific was never bad other than short periods or random 1 off years so the main driver to winter weather was the NAO. Now that we certainly moved into a cycle where the pacific is more bad than good the influence/importance of the NAO gets muted and the importance of the pacific being favorable has come to the forefront. I'd rather spike a ridge through AK to the pole put the PV over Hudson Bay, have a +nao in the means and take my chances vs a -pna/-nao 35 and rain

Amen x 1000. Pacific drives our winter. Say it every year. Just give me one choice of a TC and it's a +PNA for me. I'll take a chance on the rest ligning up right.

 

[Webberweather53]

Idk how it can get any worse than the 12z GEFS. Big trough fixing to drop down the west coast and the SE ridge is already strong.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Idk how it can get any worse than the 12z GEFS. Big trough fixing to drop down the west coast and the SE ridge is already strong.

So basically a dec 2015/2016/2017/2018/2019 and most importantly 2011 repeat ?

 

[tennessee storm]

We planning on having our Christmas back patio this year , cooking food ole ribeye s and shrimp . Hope be wearing shorts to boot, looks like a good chance

 

[NCSNOW]

Let me know when Ya'll get ready to call the punter in this winter and Punt it away. I have old Reggies phone #.

 

[SD]

So basically a dec 2015/2016/2017/2018/2019 and most importantly 2011 repeat ?

You might be disrespecting 2011 by putting it into the same category