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Pattern December to Remember

After reading the past 3 pages, Ive booked tee times Dec 22 and 23rd. Gonna get all the golf in we can Christmas break, till the pattern flips. I Prefer pipe busting cold, snow.
That said the wisest move I made was allowing myself to get addicted to golf again. Now I win all winter ,no matter what.
 
Obviously a little different but still I think winter will happen eventually. But I honestly don't want a repeat of February that was a tad much ?

"That was a tad much."

^^^Biggest understatement of the year.
 
Springs arrived . Saw this on Reddit , it’s a cherry tree that blooms during warm spells. Happened in December 2015 happening now .




Looks like a Japanese cherry, I have two in my yard. They bloom in spring and again in late November/Early December. Mine is partly bloomed now but some upper 10s in late November hurt the bloom and it didn't turn out as well as normal this year.
 
I think I can. I think I can. I think I can.

diagram_40days_forecast_GEFS_member.gif
 
Thankfull to see it raining for the first time in weeks. Want add up to alot, but its a start. Interested to see if the weekend evnt fizzles as it comes across the Apps. That seems to be the theme / pattern rut we are in.
 
New CFS shows a big western cold dump the last week of the month. SER flares up in response. Cold eventually bleeds east and the first week of January the arctic flood gates open
 
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Checking over the teleconnections this morning FWIW, they are starting to also trend towards a pattern change in the long range. They had been consistently showing positive AO an NAO, but are now biting. Here is the NAO, the AO was similar with a drop to neutral and than a lot of spread. The PNA also was trending more neutral but has more ways to go. Of course, like the operationals, they can be too fast with the change, but I have also seen them change on a dime.
 
Feb 2014 ?
I'm getting some feb 2015 vibes from it but really it's very similar to the epo ridge explosions that have been our main cold/snow driver the last 5-8 years. Have to wonder if we go warm for a period then a brief cool to cold shot leading into Christmas then another SER pump then the real cold drops
 
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