Pattern December to Remember

[olhausen]

I’m to the point of not worrying about temps, snow, and ice until January. I’d take a 33 degree heavy rain right now.

Smart thing to do if you want to keep your sanity. I’d love more snows in late December around Christmas time but it just doesn’t happen much in the southeast.

 

[BirdManDoomW]

All it took was one good 12z GEFS run for us to get sucked back in

A lot to do with just having moisture on hand. Any cad we get will likely be imo “instu” driven due to all the dry air we have at the surface. Gonna need precip this winter ? and the cad will form from the bottom up instead of relying on a top down slug fetch from New England

 

[GaWx]

Oh here we go again, 12Z Euro setting up to be a colder run initially central us. Let’s see….

 

[Myfrotho704_]

this could get interesting much more AK ridging, only problem is how far west the ridge is

 

[Myfrotho704_]

The biggest and what might be the best thing about this euro run is the lower heights not connecting around AK, last run when they connected that led to the western ridge collapsing quite quick

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This looks a little better then the gefs

 

[SD]

Incoming

 

[SD]

Please don't drop this stuff in BC and the PNW down the west coast

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Cmon we’re so close to something good this run but could easily dump it out west

 

[SNOWMANN]

All it took was one good 12z GEFS run for us to get sucked back in

Thats how we roll!!! Live or die by each run lmao. Yall can have your ice though im good!

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I’m I still think the vortex would need to be further south for any legit wintry wx, much better then last run tho

 

[Myfrotho704_]

At least it’ll rain

 

[SNOWMANN]

I’m I still think the vortex would need to be further south for any legit wintry wx, much better then last run tho View attachment 96407

Baby steps Fro baby steps. Lol I forgot who said it maybe Nicky B about lack of sensors in pacific contributing to the run to run changes but I could believe that models don't know what to do. Damn Euro is still king imo.

 

[SD]

At least it’ll rain View attachment 96408

Messy and warm on the front. Looking forward to what happens when the first system clears and things try to kick out of the SW but the pattern across AK/NW Canada may ruin an attempt at a trailing system

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This is disappointing and frustrating, we need a shetley sighting

 

[GaWx]

Guess who’s about to join the 12Z colder models party. Yep, EPS

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[RainlessSnowless & Grumpy]

This is disappointing and frustrating, we need a shetley sighting View attachment 96412

Yep need precip to get snow

 

[StormWatch]

The large scale pattern is indeed looking ugly for sure. I'd like to see a +EPO because if there was a trough over Alaska/Gulf of Alaska, a westen ridge would likely build (+PNA) I'd also like to see high latitude blocking going poleward to force displacement of the main PV. As we know it (for now) the Arctic is closed. We can only hope this patten will not lock into place.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

So 12z euro and ensembles join the party … any ice members on the EPS?