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Pattern December to Remember
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Man that’s the weeniest thing I’ve ever heard from you ??
Broken024
Member
Cmc looks more like gefs than gfs
It’s not far from the icon or CMC 
iGRXY
Member
So we're back to the GFS not being supported by its ensembles again?
50/50. Still a southeast ridge on the GEFS
Bro come on I mean the ICON CMC and GEFS aren’t agreeing with that amount of dumpage out west .. I’m not saying it does I’m just saying if it proves to be wrong maybe it’s a pattern we might look at moving forward with the model .. it’s not a good model at the end of the day
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
?
Don’t looks at the individuals GEFS runs .. some getting real weenie around December 7-8 .. looks like big time CAD events on some we have to watch and see how CAD trends in the next few days that’s always a possible saving grace with these patterns
Hard to keep the ser beat down in that look but you open the door to more significant wedging and Miller b potential imo
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
December 7-8th has been on a real hot streak of late producing sizeable winter storms in the SE US.
Really not far from something tho, especially if you move the TPV down, with that Baja low, need more adjustments but it’s not far 
Broken024
Member
Ah yes. Snow my north/west. Mix south/east. Rain here. Classic.?
I count 5 major CAD events on the GEFS .. all the rest have a nice warmth at 850 but I’m assuming cold rain on a lot of the other ones .. we’re on CAD watch atm
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
iGRXY
Member
Even with it we are CADing so really no serious warm up at all.
Kinda surprised 
It’s clear we’re riding a very fine line here check out even p2 we’re we miss out but the evidence is there for a big time high pressure creating icing event all the way to the coast …