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Pattern December Discussion

SD link said:
[quote author=GainesvilleWX link=topic=2.msg3007#msg3007 date=1482372872]
[quote author=SD link=topic=2.msg2981#msg2981 date=1482361010]
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The GFS is the gift that keeps on giving

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What hour is this?
[/quote]
384 playa...fantasy hour

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[/quote]
Better than a 648 cfsv2! :)
 
Tarheel1 link said:
[quote author=SD link=topic=2.msg3009#msg3009 date=1482372957]
[quote author=GainesvilleWX link=topic=2.msg3007#msg3007 date=1482372872]
[quote author=SD link=topic=2.msg2981#msg2981 date=1482361010]
bb4af7e609e49dd5d3d728f204845e06.jpg



The GFS is the gift that keeps on giving

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What hour is this?
[/quote]
384 playa...fantasy hour

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[/quote]
Better than a 648 cfsv2! :)
[/quote]
amen to that

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Re: December Discussion

Storm5 link said:
[quote author=Brick Tamland link=topic=2.msg3002#msg3002 date=1482372173]
Y'all should see my wife. Just saying.
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I have , let's us know if you wanna make thw same deal I'm offering :)

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[/quote]

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Brick Tamland link said:
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=2.msg3004#msg3004 date=1482372255]
[quote author=Brick Tamland link=topic=2.msg3002#msg3002 date=1482372173]
Y'all should see my wife. Just saying.
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I have , let's us know if you wanna make thw same deal I'm offering :)

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[/quote]

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[/quote]
ah, brick GIFs!!!!! Now it feels like winter!  Love the Gifs you post

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Dam, GFS is cold by the 3rd! In the Carolinas
 
Re: December Discussion

damn what an 00z gfs run . The GFS is hell bent on building heights over the pole.  These runs keep getting better and better

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Lots of cold and energy moving around! See if they can get together in future runs!
 
December Discussion

Cary_Snow95 link said:
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=2.msg3026#msg3026 date=1482382697]
damn what an 00z gfs run . These runs keep getting better and better

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Yeah even at 500mb. In fantasy land it tried to drop another piece of energy down at 384
[/quote]
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Oh my midnight delight...

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Re: December Discussion

keep in mind the ridging over Alaska gets cranking well inside day 10 and builds towards the pole throughout the run 
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December Discussion

Storm5 link said:
[quote author=Brick Tamland link=topic=2.msg3002#msg3002 date=1482372173]
Y'all should see my wife. Just saying.
Click to expand...
I have , let's us know if you wanna make thw same deal I'm offering :)

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[/quote]

Here's my wife but no deal for me

485d582e3ebcc63d20c7f254c12e12b6.jpg



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Storm5 link said:
I would be willing to loan my wife out if someone would guarantee me I'd get that look at 500 mb in two weeks....

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I'm not quite sure how to respond to this one lmao
 
olhausen link said:
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=2.msg3004#msg3004 date=1482372255]
[quote author=Brick Tamland link=topic=2.msg3002#msg3002 date=1482372173]
Y'all should see my wife. Just saying.
Click to expand...
I have , let's us know if you wanna make thw same deal I'm offering :)

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[/quote]

Here's my wife but no deal for me


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[/quote]

That was a horrible idea.
 
The 6z GFS is much warmer and says much of GA and SC may not see it get below freezing right through hour 384.
 
Euro Day 10

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GFS Day 10

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Just a slight difference in the west lol. By the end of the run the 6z GFS shoots the ridge and almost looks like it wants to go bowling.

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JHS link said:
The 6z GFS is much warmer and says much of GA and SC may not see it get below freezing right through hour 384.
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need to worry about the pattern not the surface

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Re: December Discussion

olhausen link said:
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=2.msg3004#msg3004 date=1482372255]
[quote author=Brick Tamland link=topic=2.msg3002#msg3002 date=1482372173]
Y'all should see my wife. Just saying.
Click to expand...
I have , let's us know if you wanna make thw same deal I'm offering :)

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[/quote]

Here's my wife but no deal for me

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[/quote]

You have done well.

We might need a thread here where posters can post pics of themselves, and their wife/girlfriend if they want.  ;D

Oh, and I think things are lining up great for January as far as winter storm chances go. Looks like fun.
 
It might be more helpful and less stressful if some would learn to look at the 500mb to get a better understanding of where the PATTERN may be headed...


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I feel like theres always one in the corner just waiting for a bad model run,to jump on.it irretates me how ppl can be so Negative about things.
 
Brick Tamland link said:
[quote author=ATLWxFan link=topic=2.msg3039#msg3039 date=1482413752]
How many more runs till the GFS goes to ----?


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[/quote] lol
 
whatalife link said:
It might be more helpful and less stressful if some would learn to look at the 500mb to get a better understanding of where the PATTERN may be headed...


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this for 1000 bob. It's far more helpful looking at H5 vs the surface . example: most of the time the gfs spits things out at the surface in the LR  that don't even make sense given its H5 look .

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One man's realism is another man's pessimism. But hey we all want the goods.


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ATLWxFan link said:
Oh my! Rejoice!!!
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How's that Asian snowcover working out??
 
ATLWxFan link said:
Oh my! Rejoice!!!
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I really need to reach out to Judah and see if he will come sell some fireworks for me this NYE...the way he sells a southern snow storm has to translate well to everyday retail in sales ;D
 
After all his incessant chest beating of late, JB sure gone quiet about mentioning this supposed warm spell in early January... He's probably starting to realize that Siberian air will be sitting over the Canadian Rockies, Alaska, & @ least the northwestern tier of the US during the first week of the month. The question still remains whether or not the Alaskan/GOA ridge will be strong & close enough to the Rockies to advect the arctic air into the southeastern US. The trends of late in the guidance have been in favor of this solution, but again this is a very fickle pattern & even a minor detail in the ACWB event in the North Pacific will mean the difference between more mild wx & an arctic assault in the SE US, so we'll have to see...
 
bigstick10 link said:
[quote author=accu35 link=topic=2.msg3042#msg3042 date=1482414373]
I feel like theres always one in the corner just waiting for a bad model run,to jump on.it irretates me how ppl can be so Negative about things.
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Spell check man...LOL  Well, it is hard not to be somewhat pessimistic when you look at the models depicting no real cold air around for another month!!!  Look at your buddy James Spann video this morning.
[/quote]
no cold around for a month lol....ok

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ATLWxFan link said:
70 on Christmas Day... yeah that might qualify as Torchmas.


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Sucks to be you!
12z GFS looked like an ok pattern near the end, of course, but I'll take it!
 
SoutheastRidge link said:
James Spann says there is the possibility of the cold returning by the end of Jan/early Feb.
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there is also a possibility that he might get a winter forecast right at some point

Sounds like he is in the bathtub with JB . Lost and confused

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Webberweather53 link said:
After all his incessant chest beating of late, JB sure gone quiet about mentioning this supposed warm spell in early January... He's probably starting to realize that Siberian air will be sitting over the Canadian Rockies, Alaska, & @ least the northwestern tier of the US during the first week of the month. The question still remains whether or not the Alaskan/GOA ridge will be strong & close enough to the Rockies to advect the arctic air into the southeastern US. The trends of late in the guidance have been in favor of this solution, but again this is a very fickle pattern & even a minor detail in the ACWB event in the North Pacific will mean the difference between more mild wx & an arctic assault in the SE US, so we'll have to see...
Click to expand...
he is still hell bent on the warmth. seeing him go after Cohen on twitter every single time he posts something is pathetic .

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CMC has an absolute perfect storm track and a decent high sliding east with it at day 10
 
Considering that every cold day for me has been cold, damp, and gray, I kinda wouldn't mind a break from it for now. Looks like the last week of December will be above average temperature wise but a switch might be flipped after that.
 
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