Wintry December 4-7 Winter Precip Chance

[NBAcentel]

UK and euro agreeing with each other on the option of suck is not what you want to see here

 

[NBAcentel]

I take that back, the disagreement begins around here,

 

[RBR71]

That's not nice, your mother hugged you...

Ohhh a battle of wits..... too bad you came unarmed.

 

[RVD]

UK and euro agreeing with each other on the option of suck is not what you want to see here View attachment 55634View attachment 55635

It did improve some, but not near as much as we need.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

 

[NBAcentel]

 

[Ollie Williams]

Congrats to the NW NC folks!

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

I'm so done with the weather here lol

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[whatalife]

I'm so done with the weather here lol

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Promise!?! (Sarcasm)


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[NBAcentel]

Here’s what I think, for areas around CLT, it’s gonna be rain most of the event, and at the end there may be a light mix and maybe a brief changeover, no accums, 0, farther east into E/NE NC is where they stand the better chance of a dusting or more as the N/S energy dives in, and enhances rates there which cools the column, I still think VA is the winner here, if we can get something like the gfs/nam solution where that first piece goes out ahead of the S/S wave, there could be some more widespread snow primarily in NC, still tons of models spread/different solutions

 

[Somosdel]

I'm so done with the weather here lol

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Buddy. It's early December in NC. RELAX. Jan to early march is our favored time period for winter weather in the piedmont.

 

[Jessy89]

I'm so done with the weather here lol

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It’s just early December.


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[BlueRidgeFolklore]

I'm so done with the weather here lol

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We've heard that before. You're going to make some realtor in Dubuque really happy.

 

[Mitch West]

I'm so done with the weather here lol

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I am also done, until I see a Winter storm 254 hours out on the GFS showing 1-2 inches of ice accumulation followed 2-4 inches of snow for my location, then I will be sucked right back in everytime. lol

jk, it’s early man. This was always a system that we were all clawing at to work out, still might for some.

 

[NBAcentel]

It’s basically the GEFS/NAM/GFS vs the middle ground CMC vs the EURO/UK/CMCE and likely soon to be EPS

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

It’s basically the GEFS/NAM/GFS vs the middle ground CMC vs the EURO/UK/CMCE and likely soon to be EPS

Crazy how different all of them are. This reminds me of the system we had on the last day of January this year.

 

[Stephenb888]

Let’s be honest. For those of us who live in SC winter never starts. A few chilly days and cold rains from now till March.

It’s just early December.


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[Jessy89]

Let’s be honest. For those of us who live in SC winter never starts. A few chilly days and cold rains from now till March.

That little 2.5 inch snow on a Sunday last year on February was nice


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[Webberweather53]

12z EPS basically doubled the amount of precip from the 0z run

 

[NBAcentel]

12z EPS basically doubled the amount of precip from the 0z run

View attachment 55647


View attachment 55648

Double up our cold rain

 

[NBAcentel]

 

[NBAcentel]

A snowflake at this point is a win, I think several people here have a shot at the end of the event anyways to see a few snowflakes, it’s only December anyways

 

[Webberweather53]

Look like a major snow TV event is on the way for NC. Pants blowout!

 

[BirdManDoomW]

It’s the weekend with the news off there won’t be any public relay besides Facebook. Should the event blossom tonight or tomorrow. 1-3” surprise for some.

 

[NBAcentel]

Let’s be honest tho, it’s hanged around in our mind at times, we’re all hoping for that one big run to keep us at ease for 6 hours....

 

[superjames1992]

Let’s be honest tho, it’s hanged around in our mind at times, we’re all hoping for that one big run to keep us at ease for 6 hours.... View attachment 55650

We need Happy Hour 18z NAM to deliver.

 

[RBR71]

View attachment 55649

That looks like my checking account......... pathetic

 

[Tarheel1]

12z EPS basically doubled the amount of precip from the 0z run

View attachment 55647


View attachment 55648

Are y’all having a rainfall shortage in the Carolinas this year?

 

[superjames1992]

Are y’all having a rainfall shortage in the Carolinas this year?

Nope, RDU is about 9” above normal YTD. GSO is nearly 20” above normal; it has to be one of the wettest years on record there. FAY is close to 15” above normal.

 

[NBAcentel]

Should be a maybe decent nam run again

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Assuming no fantasy nam?

 

[Ollie Williams]

Assuming no fantasy nam?

Still hasn’t finished.

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Still hasn’t finished.

Just pulled it up. Looks a little juicer and further west

 

[Ollie Williams]

Further east, but better than all the other models.

 

[DopplerWx]

a nice cool drizzle.

 

[Ollie Williams]

The NAM isn’t bad, too little precip.

 

[NBAcentel]

I would take it

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

I would take it View attachment 55671View attachment 55672

I'll honestly take that

 

[Jessy89]

I would take it View attachment 55671View attachment 55672

I could see I85 north in upstate sc have a few flakes mixed in if rates was heavy enough with that look


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[NBAcentel]

Here’s a disorganized explanation of what we need in NC