Wintry December 4-7 Winter Precip Chance

[SD]

Yeah cmc blows to

Gotta like the moisture influx on most of the models, gotta hate we are likely playing a losers game with the boundary layer

 

[jackendrickwx]

GEFS tries with a few members

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I mean it’s getting better with S piece, we just need to N/s to phase with it so it can have a good cold air injection, otherwise it’s extremely marginal

 

[jackendrickwx]

Member 9 congrats @Ollie Williams

 

[jackendrickwx]

Why do we even do this

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Why do we even do this

UK and euro will save us !!

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Unfortunately you can count on the 540 line to move NW with the precip

View attachment 55359

I can’t tell you how many times I’ve been above the 540 line and got rained on

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Member 9 congrats @Ollie Williams

Lemme cash out #8. I have some snow lingering around waiting on some more.

 

[superjames1992]

Why do we even do this

PGV jackpot with the trash can topper.

 

[Stephenb888]

Is this even an upstate Sc possibility or is all this talk just for mountains

I can’t tell you how many times I’ve been above the 540 line and got rained on

 

[jackendrickwx]

Pretty high spread on moisture values on the CoD GEFS members. Some of them have almost no precip, some of them are nice and juicy, some of them come 8-12 hours later.

 

[SD]

Why do we even do this

Congrats @Shaggy @Downeastnc @WeatherNC

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Is this even an upstate Sc possibility or is all this talk just for mountains

I’ve seen clippers produce. I wouldn’t totally discount it as a possibility. Like everything else around here, timing timing timing.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I’ve seen clippers produce. I wouldn’t totally discount it as a possibility. Like everything else around here, timing timing timing.

We have to get it at night tbh where temps are in the mid/upper 30s, it’s the way

 

[AJ1013]

Another nice looking negatively tilted trough but what do you know the deep cold air that was projected the past few days has completely evaporated lol. We just can't have nice things. By the way this chart DOES NOT show snow in upstate SC. I know we have a few folks on here who like that clarification

 

[SD]

Just remember peeps the ignore function works

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

We have to get it at night tbh where temps are in the mid/upper 30s, it’s the way

DP’s are a concern initially but crash pretty quickly. Have to time it up just right and hope there’s moisture to work with. I’ll play.

 

[AJ1013]

Just remember peeps the ignore function works

Did you delete my post? lol. I didn't think that was out of line. Tighter rules on here than I thought I guess. No worries

 

[Myfrotho704_]

DP’s are a concern initially but crash pretty quickly. Have to time it up just right and hope there’s moisture to work with. I’ll play.

Yeah for sure, while the gfs/cmc were worse, it’s still workable, we need that N/S injection to, that really helps out, on the CMC

 

[superjames1992]

Another nice looking negatively tilted trough but what do you know the deep cold air that was projected the past few days has completely evaporated lol. We can't have nice things

It's not good for us when it's raining in Toronto.