Wintry December 4-7 Winter Precip Chance

[Ollie Williams]

Now time to turn our attention to the Canadian model

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I remember very clearly the Canadian was the first to catch on to the February storm being a storm for the NC in its entirety!

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Hate to say it, but I like where I stand living near Charlotte right now based off our history with the NW trend ?

 

[RVD]

This is great to see: storm is stronger and temps... improved! Look closely to see how wind barbs inland are far more northerly b/c of the 850 mb circulation

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Hate to say it, but I like where I stand living near Charlotte right now based off our history with the NW trend

You right, buttttt wouldn't the nw trend cause warmer temps?

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[Myfrotho704_]

You right, buttttt wouldn't the nw trend cause warmer temps?

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It could start to

 

[Myfrotho704_]

CMC looks better, it actually has some solid agreement with the gfs right now at this range, after it could change

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

GEFS is all over the place. Wtf

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[Chazwin]

Soundings near Charlotte are supportive of snow if you get heavy enough precip this run, the areas that had higher rates got snow

I was just about to post this. The soundings look good into the eastern upstate. IF the moisture is there for good enough rates, it would be all snow for the Charlotte metro area.

 

[jackendrickwx]

Decent amount of spread among GEFS members as pertains to timing

 

[superjames1992]

Hmm, I guess maybe we truly have a shot with this one for at least a little something. I don’t like the temps, though. We’re flirting with disaster there, regardless of how much moisture we get. I’d still put MBY’s chances of seeing flakes at under 50/50 and sticking snow significantly lower than that, but I’m intrigued and ready to get my heart broken.

 

[Webberweather53]

High pressure to the NW.

Yeah if you want this to turn into CAD lol

 

[Webberweather53]

Yeah, but potential doesn't cut it for threads around here. Maybe within 24 hours and we have this look, but we usually don't get involved with threads that barely have any model snow.

No he is right this definitely has some potential haha

 

[Ollie Williams]

No he is right this definitely has some potential haha

Lol, luckily I can take that back after today's 00z runs! I just got sick of chasing "close" setups.

 

[SD]

God give the server the strength to make it

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I like

 

[Metwannabe]

View attachment 55505

God give the server the strength to make it

Amen!

 

[Webberweather53]

Hate to say it, but I like where I stand living near Charlotte right now based off our history with the NW trend ?

Oth, Charlotte usually gets shafted when it comes to coastal cyclones

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Oth, Charlotte usually gets shafted when it comes to coastal cyclones

Snow chase

 

[Chazwin]

I like View attachment 55506

Call me crazy and I don’t know what it would happen if it did, but it almost looks like that piece of energy over the Great Lakes wants to get pulled into this as well

 

[Ollie Williams]

it’s times like this when I’m thankful to live in the eastern rather than the western triad!