Lol I need to work on my central/east NC geography. I got WNC down pat (used to live in Boone)
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Wintry December 4-7 Winter Precip Chance
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
care to share?
It's starting to drop here now down to 45.7. today looks like a classic winter day out the window
smast16
Member
I'm watching. Getting thicker clouds and just feels like a flake or two could fall.
Moment of truth. Headed to Soco Gap now ?? Please be snowing
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Lol sweet guess I’m gonna have to make a map for this one
smast16
Member
Update: very light mist / drizzle.
This band on the NAM is intriguing for RDU 
smast16
Member
44.8/43.7, light mist.
RVD
Meteorology Student
What's your temp? I'm at 36 in Hillsborough, was hoping that maybe this could produce a few flakes if it made it here, but maybe not....
Fountainguy97
Member
35.6 here and just can’t quite get the mixing level down here into the valley.
but the cloud deck may be the lowest I’ve ever seen. Barely 500ft above my head
but the cloud deck may be the lowest I’ve ever seen. Barely 500ft above my head
FamouslyHot
Member
Finally seeing some more moisture headed my way. Before now you couldn’t see any returns NW of Gatlinburg
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BHS1975
Member
If the wind is just right moisture will sneak through the gap in the mountains. I've seen it once before.
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Yeah pretty much all the short range models depict some kind of band filtering through the RDU region later
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Cmon gimme some graupel ?
What's your temp/DP?
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
50 over 47. ???
D
Deleted member 1449
Guest
There were some flurries in Stokes county (one county north of here). I saw the video to confirm on Twitter. At least some in NC saw some flakes today.
Here are some of the individual members .. showing some solid back end precip .. would be interesting but idk long shot right?
Attachments
Not bad for RAH:
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 1015 AM Monday...
Water vapor satellite showed the first of two troughs for today
exiting the area. Radar displayed most showers have also moved into
eastern NC, with patchy areas of drizzle lingering across the
region. The second upper trough is currently moving across eastern
TN, and will traverse across central NC this afternoon and evening.
Additional showers will develop this afternoon across the region as
the trough approaches the area, with the greatest coverage of
showers closer to the NC/SC border. Although today will be a quite
chilly day, with highs ranging from the upper 30s N to near 50 S,
precipitation through this afternoon will be liquid. However,
chances of frozen precip, or a mix of frozen and liquid, will
develop this evening as a weak surface cold front pushes across the
area. High-res models have been consistent with developing isolated
showers across portions of the Piedmont and southern Coastal Plain
this evening along the front, and model soundings look to be cold
enough for areas near and north of the Triangle to observe some
snowflakes (best chances near the VA border). Surface temps will be
right around freezing as precip is falling, therefore no frozen
accumulation is expected. Bridges may become a little icy overnight
where roads remain wet and temps fall into the 20s. Lingering
northwesterly winds behind the front may keep the atmosphere mixed
enough in some places to only lower temps to the low 30s overnight,
however sheltered areas should radiationally cool to the mid to
upper 20s as skies clear behind the front.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 1015 AM Monday...
Water vapor satellite showed the first of two troughs for today
exiting the area. Radar displayed most showers have also moved into
eastern NC, with patchy areas of drizzle lingering across the
region. The second upper trough is currently moving across eastern
TN, and will traverse across central NC this afternoon and evening.
Additional showers will develop this afternoon across the region as
the trough approaches the area, with the greatest coverage of
showers closer to the NC/SC border. Although today will be a quite
chilly day, with highs ranging from the upper 30s N to near 50 S,
precipitation through this afternoon will be liquid. However,
chances of frozen precip, or a mix of frozen and liquid, will
develop this evening as a weak surface cold front pushes across the
area. High-res models have been consistent with developing isolated
showers across portions of the Piedmont and southern Coastal Plain
this evening along the front, and model soundings look to be cold
enough for areas near and north of the Triangle to observe some
snowflakes (best chances near the VA border). Surface temps will be
right around freezing as precip is falling, therefore no frozen
accumulation is expected. Bridges may become a little icy overnight
where roads remain wet and temps fall into the 20s. Lingering
northwesterly winds behind the front may keep the atmosphere mixed
enough in some places to only lower temps to the low 30s overnight,
however sheltered areas should radiationally cool to the mid to
upper 20s as skies clear behind the front.
&&
D
Deleted member 1449
Guest
I just got back from a run and I thought I saw one renegade flake but since I only saw one it was probably something else. Dandruff ?
Temp down to 34 and is the radar deceiving me but looks like decent redevelopment just to my west
smast16
Member
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Dang 34? yeah you're probably about to score
smast16
Member
Dust. Lol. I saw it too. Its Christmas time so I'm gonna #believeinmiracles
And dang Henderson is down to 32
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Has to be snowing or had snowed there.
HAHAHA I actually relate to this so much sometimes you’re looking so hard that your Brian creates what you want to see ... happened too me many times before ... I think it’s the weenie membrane in the brain that kicks in
Yeah you would think so but haven't seen any reports of any just yet
Down to 37 here in Raleigh near the PNC arena ... I’m licking my lips for that band models are showing .. I know it’s just a fantasy .. but one can hope
Has to be snowing around here, reflectivity has smoothed out and picked up 
Correlation coefficients seem to show what you're talking about .. definitely seems to be some sort of mischief up there
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Widespread surface temp readings in the low-mid 30s up there, given the setup, sfc temps, & radar I also strongly suspect that it's actually snowing &/or at least a rain/snow mix in parts of Vance, Warren, & Halifax counties rn
I have got to schedule my work from home days better....
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
We're gonna have to rely almost solely on @metwannabe if we want ground truth out of that band, still not even a single mPING report
