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Wintry December 4-7 Winter Precip Chance

Something is starting to fall here. Best guess is a rain/snow mix but's it's starting to get hard to tell as the sun sets. There was an mping report of snow 2 miles to my NW, though.
 
Seems like it may be over here now. Didn’t even really get any Snow TV, so kinda meh. Oh well, at least we have a T on the board now.
 
Upon closer inspection, and comparing KRAX w/ KAKQ radar reflectivities, looks like even the lowest radar beam is overshooting much the precip in Halifax, Warren, & Vance counties. This means it is likely being generated below 5,000-6,000 feet (850mb ish to sfc). It's gonna be tough, although far from impossinle, to get the Bergeron process going if the 850mb temps where this precip is being generated (apparently) are way above -10C (forecast soundings showed between 0C and -5C). I guess a few isolated spots could be mixing w/ snow perhaps, but this kind of environment actually favors freezing drizzle over snow if sfc temps were below 32F.

Guess it worked out! Snow for the Triad and Triangle!
 
WOW THAT BAND JUST LIT UP RIGHT OVER ME IN RALEIGH BY THE PNC ARENA .. It was genuine heavy snow for about 15 minutes with big FAT flakes falling I’ll try to send some videos that I took .. just a steady snow now but wow even had a bit of accumulation for a second
 
I think it certainly helped that temps cooled a bit as the core of the upper trough approached

i noticed around 11a-12lunchtime that temps were about 3-6 colder than the models were initializing RDU and to the NNW. Further, some data from flights in and out of RDU had freezing temps just off the ground.
 
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston SC
159 PM EST Mon Dec 7 2020

SCZ043>045-049-050-052-080215-
Inland Colleton-Dorchester-Inland Berkeley-Coastal Colleton-
Charleston-Tidal Berkeley-
159 PM EST Mon Dec 7 2020

...ISOLATED GRAUPEL POSSIBLE A FEW SHOWERS ACROSS THE CHARLESTON
QUAD COUNTY AREA THIS EVENING...

Scattered to numerous showers will impact Berkeley, Dorchester,
Charleston and Colleton County this evening, most especially
between 6 and 9 pm. A couple of these showers might briefly
produce graupel as they move east and southeast through the area.

Graupel is ice or snow pellets that form when waters drops
collect and then freeze on falling snowflakes, forming very small
balls of ice.

Graupel is soft and will easily break apart with an appearance
like Styrofoam balls. Unlike hail, it does not cause any damage.
Special weather statement for graupel in greater Charleston area. Had a hail report associated with this line that I’m guessing was actually graupel
 
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