I want to see the base of that ULL slightly to the SE. Workable, but I’m not encouraged.
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Wintry December 4-7 Winter Precip Chance
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
We need to slow it down a bit to so we can have better timing for night, but yeah I’m not freaking out over this run, I still think on the backside many areas can squeeze out some snowflakes at worse given the crashing 925s and 850s...
Dewpoint Dan
Member
Mt Airy and Eden definitely have a shot.
I remember with the February 2020 event, the Euro was showing only light rain for central NC a few days out, before correcting towards the GFS later.
What’s the first wave? It’s all interconnected to one storm.
Yeah, it was really stubborn in that regard, though I don’t think that is the case considering the CMC/UKMET agrees with it.
Oh yeah, I forgot about that one, definitely going to the NE. We should just re-name this one to the December 8th chance.
staying up for the 06z nam, been asleep all day with a sinus infection ??
but anyways while the euro wasn’t the best, it was somewhat colder, need that N/S energy further south 
but anyways while the euro wasn’t the best, it was somewhat colder, need that N/S energy further south
FWIW here’s the 00z CMC ensembles. Mostly dry, but there are three really good members!
Yeah run-run delta was huge!staying up for the 06z nam, been asleep all day with a sinus infection ??
It was definitely a improvement from that somewhat horrific 12z run, now get it more and more south ! 
I’m thankful we have that low in SE New England. Without that, this thing wouldn’t have a chance!
Would have been nice if it could be a tad stronger or connected to the NATL wave train, the CAA would be better
This looks better so far, question is how that other piece of N/S energy will look once they try to interact and head East 
@Disco_Lemonade This is the temperature change from this run to the last run. The entire SE got colder.
This looks better, let’s see how the snow mean responds 
CLT screwjob lmaooo but improvement. 
Definitely a more realistic scenario with it being in VA where there’s more cold air, but we still got time