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Wintry December 4-7 Winter Precip Chance

I don't feel like the GFS will be that great, we need the southern wave to be slightly SW of the northern wave crashing down.

While I don't think it's as good as 18z, it's much better than 12z and 06z.
 
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_seus_16.png
 
Positive takeaway here outside of the obvious snowfall in ENC is the widespread precip. Cold air is looking more and more to be the issue here
 
How is there snow to the west and east but rain in the middle. I'm so confused lol. Would be very happy for eastern nc tho!

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Soundings near Charlotte are supportive of snow if you get heavy enough precip this run, the areas that had higher rates got snow
 
How is there snow to the west and east but rain in the middle. I'm so confused lol. Would be very happy for eastern nc tho!

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Marginal temps, rate driven...heavy precip cools the column you get snow, lighter precip doesn't cool the column just rain
 
Now time to turn our attention to the Canadian model

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