Fairly good 18z EPS run for NC! We just need things to trend colder!
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Wintry December 4-7 Winter Precip Chance
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
That’s got more of a Durham look to it
Downeastnc
Member
I mean for a early Dec teaser event it does not look half bad even for people like me in PGV, if you keep your expectations realistic.....its not that far from at least seeing some wet flakes possibly for some folks...
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Brick Tamland
Guest
It would be nice to just see some snow fall this early.
Wow that is a sizable increase. And to think we have 14 more Euro runs for this to potentially trend better.
Interesting post by HKY_WX on American:
I don’t think I’ve seen anyone mention this, but this surface low near Florida popped up today. Could be a feature for this potential event, and noticed all of the models had a large plume of moisture move further NE today. I think it is another reason to pull for a more negatively tilted trough, as this should also help pull this gulf moisture train in a more south to north versus a flat west to east path. Face it, we need this system to start bombing out over the Atlantic to get a significant event, and all of these features working together could work.
Agreed a dusting would be fantastic since we usually don't get snow in December at all.
Dewpoint Dan
Member
Raleigh averages 0.6" in Dec.
Well that’s a little different 
I think both need to align and phase, one can't be in front of another otherwise we get a positive tilt.
Snow on the NAM in NW Wilkes.
0.6" is just an average. Normally what that means is we get a December big dog about once a decade and little to nothing every other year. December 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, and 2019 all had zero measurable snow here, and of those years only 2014 even had flakes. I don't even think I could call December 2017 measurable IMBY, despite RDU reporting 0.3".
JB says that the pattern is shaping up for the potential of a big storm in the Mid-Atlantic states.
Hey, at least he said Mid-Atlantic and not SE!
Hey, at least he said Mid-Atlantic and not SE!
NoSnowATL
Member
Congratulations mid-west then.
Tim Buckley mentioned this system could be “sneaky.”
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
That's what I've been thinking. It reminds me a bit of the system we had the last day of January last year. Where it started out as wet snow in a lot of places before changing to rain
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Didn't he say the same thing about the December 2018 storm? Though this setup is much different.
I remember him acknowledging models showing it in the SE but saying, "eh, I still think it turns north and gives the big cities snow."