Dang, only 6-10 even in the NW NC mtns.GEFS is down a good bit on totals
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Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm
- Thread starter SimeonNC
- Start date
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Honestly the FV3 probably is depicting the CAD a bit better than the old GFS. I want to have what FFC is smoking if they really believe what they had put out, but I do think there's a chance there's ice from the NE ATL suburbs and up.
Ouch that average dropped from like 10 inches to 2 inches in RDU. Maybe the NAM is not crazy after all.
Avalanche
Member
Dang, bullseye is down to 9. Yeah that went waayyy down.GEFS is down a good bit on totals
Snowflowxxl
Member
850s colder on the Euro thru 48. Low is a tick south also
WXinCanton
Member
Crap my bad. I went to far out earlier so it included some melting. Here is the highest totals for the latest GEFS
Euro please restore faith and hope to the boards
Jessy89
Member
Oh yes I’ll be happy with 2inches
Don’t look at it. I’m tellin ya!
It's all about perspective. 2 inches in early December is a win for everyone honestly.
Snownut
Member
It has been an I85 special pretty much from the get go.
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Snowflowxxl
Member
HP is down 2 from yesterdays 12z run at 72.
Jessy89
Member
Yes it is but what’s bad is the models still flip flopping
Snownut
Member
And that is probably the more realistic totalsGEFS is down a good bit on totals
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Snowflowxxl
Member
Euro should be a solid hit
tractor girl
Member
But not for ATL
Snowflowxxl
Member
I think it will be very close
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
That’s snow depth on Wednesday morning. So it’s probably higher than that.GEFS is down a good bit on totals
Brandon10
Member
Can't understand why 850s are prime for snow all the way to the coast of NC but it shows rain....daggum column
yeah the question for ATL will be transition in later frames and tailing ULL
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Euro's depiction is probably about what I'd expect ice wise for NE GA. It could get closer but that seems like a realistic run to me.
Looks pretty good for NC as well.
Looks pretty good for NC as well.
Yellow Snow
Member
Peachtree City just held a briefing on the weekend winter weather threat. Here's the summary slide:
You can view the full presentation here -
https://www.weather.gov/media/ffc/Briefings/Dec06_Briefing.pptx
You can view the full presentation here -
https://www.weather.gov/media/ffc/Briefings/Dec06_Briefing.pptx
Man should I trust that heavy thump of snow and graupel in the piedmont of nc or nah ? So much disagreement on that with models
I don't think there would be melting on Tuesday though ?
Kylo
Member
Euro
Probably a lot of sleet towards RDU
Probably a lot of sleet towards RDU
So if this map includes sleet why does it say Total Snowfall Accumulation ? Seems misleading to me.
Storm5
Member
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NorthGaWinter4
Member
Euro looks like it’s lights out here
Because there are many things that go into getting snow than just <0C at 850mb.
Ewwww.... barely advisory stuff here b/c will be tons of mixing and my guess is it will continue to shift NW. Oh well I was never really in the game but was hoping for the best...
NorthGaWinter4
Member
Can you show the ice in NEGA
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Man that transition line rockets NW....
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Euro still looks pretty good for the initial front end thump, but I think it's more likely than not that it will be mostly sleet rather than snow. I don't think RDU has much of a chance to squeeze out more than an inch or two of snow/sleet mix, and even that may be generous. We'll see.
whatalife
Moderator
Give it some time and it will rocket even further NW...
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Storm5
Member
and it will likely set up shop further nw than the model guidance suggests, like it always does.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Big hit on the Euro for NC. GFS backed off a bit, but the globals have held serve so far compared to yesterday.
whatalife
Moderator