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Pattern August 2023 Thread

Official NWS reading in Montgomery showed a heat index of 118 today. Highest I remember.

I guess y'all got our heat although it hasn't left Southern Oklahoma and Texas yet. Endless 100s for Dallas still. It was really bad here a few times. We had 120s nearby awhile back which I had never seen before the humidity lessened
 
Very ominous looking for all of Central and North GA today.

Today is shaping up to be one of those days when hot conditions
come to a crashing end as severe storms roll through. An
unseasonably strong trough will track through the Ohio Valley
today. This will provide the lift and shear necessary to support
storm development and maintenance. Meanwhile, the heat and humidity
ahead of the approaching trough will result in SBCAPE values of
2500 to 4000 j/kg (per HREF guidance), ample fuel for strong
updrafts. Storms are ongoing in an unstable environment across
Tennessee and Kentucky already. As the morning progresses, CAM
guidance suggests this activity will gradually congeal into a more
cohesive line, before it becomes more cold pool driven and surges
through northern Georgia this afternoon and evening. Trends in
the HRRR guidance suggest the line of storms will arrive in the
Atlanta Metro between 4 PM and 7 PM. Due largely to the
unseasonably strong shear, there is an above average threat for
widespread damaging winds with the storms today. Wind gusts in the
50 to 70 mph range could occur with the strongest storms, and
peak gusts near 80 mph aren't't out of the realm of possibility. The
SPC has issued an Enhanced Risk (level 3 of 5) to highlight this
potential wind threat. With gusts of this magnitude, tree and
power line damage can be anticipated in the region. Please be sure
to heed any warnings issued for your area. The potential for
other hazards (tornados, large hail or flooding) are lower.
 
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SPC hasn't changed their outlook for today.
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Random sounding at the time when storms are projected to roll through my backyard today. CAPE is a little high.

nam3km_2023080706_fh16_sounding_33.66N_83.59W.png
 
Very ominous looking for all of Central and North GA today.

Today is shaping up to be one of those days when hot conditions
come to a crashing end as severe storms roll through. An
unseasonably strong trough will track through the Ohio Valley
today. This will provide the lift and shear necessary to support
storm development and maintenance. Meanwhile, the heat and humidity
ahead of the approaching trough will result in SBCAPE values of
2500 to 4000 j/kg (per HREF guidance), ample fuel for strong
updrafts. Storms are ongoing in an unstable environment across
Tennessee and Kentucky already. As the morning progresses, CAM
guidance suggests this activity will gradually congeal into a more
cohesive line, before it becomes more cold pool driven and surges
through northern Georgia this afternoon and evening. Trends in
the HRRR guidance suggest the line of storms will arrive in the
Atlanta Metro between 4 PM and 7 PM. Due largely to the
unseasonably strong shear, there is an above average threat for
widespread damaging winds with the storms today. Wind gusts in the
50 to 70 mph range could occur with the strongest storms, and
peak gusts near 80 mph aren't't out of the realm of possibility. The
SPC has issued an Enhanced Risk (level 3 of 5) to highlight this
potential wind threat. With gusts of this magnitude, tree and
power line damage can be anticipated in the region. Please be sure
to heed any warnings issued for your area. The potential for
other hazards (tornados, large hail or flooding) are lower.
It's looking like much of central Georgia, South Carolina and North Carolina is in the danger zone as far as possible severe weather today. As I learned from personal experience last year where I live, straight line winds like the ones mentioned in this discussion can cause tornadic damage in some cases. I hope someone will start a thread to keep track of this possible severe weather outbreak.
 
On the other side of the front this is the closest thing we've had to a fall preview so far. Very impressive front for early August Screenshot_2023-08-07-10-29-47-29_40deb401b9ffe8e1df2f1cc5ba480b12.jpg
 
This dewpoint high seems rather unbelievable.

1691448177622.png
 
Is it August? Back to back severe threats

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