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Pattern August 2023 Thread

metwannabe said:
Is it August? Back to back severe threats

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This one can still go either way. I'm hoping we get the morning storms to help keep things under control over here. This one has a high ceiling and a low floor too if timing is off. Either way it looks rough to our west today.
 
BHS1975 said:
Spring pattern with summer SBCAPE gets ugly.


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Just out of curiosity, do you think these severe threats in August are related to the El Niño? August just always seems to be so boring unless we’re tracking something in the tropics. It’s also typically one of the driest months in my area and I’ve already had 3.87 inches of rain
 
Chazwin said:
Just out of curiosity, do you think these severe threats in August are related to the El Niño? August just always seems to be so boring unless we’re tracking something in the tropics. It’s also typically one of the driest months in my area and I’ve already had 3.87 inches of rain
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Do not know about the effect El Nino may be having on the strength of these short waves, but the warmer water in the gulf is certainly keeping dewpoints up and most likely making these systems stronger. Our fall severe weather season will probably be worse than usual because of this too.
 
This has really been an incredible heat wave across the far southern tier of the country. I can't remember Florida ever being under so many Excessive Heat Warnings for such an extended period. I guess perhaps dewpoints are higher than normal causing it to be so hot ?
 
Snowlover87 said:
This has really been an incredible heat wave across the far southern tier of the country. I can't remember Florida ever being under so many Excessive Heat Warnings for such an extended period. I guess perhaps dewpoints are higher than normal causing it to be so hot ?
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Surface of the sun type of heat. Its been fun
 
Chazwin said:
Just out of curiosity, do you think these severe threats in August are related to the El Niño? August just always seems to be so boring unless we’re tracking something in the tropics. It’s also typically one of the driest months in my area and I’ve already had 3.87 inches of rain
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STJ got excited
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Snowlover87 said:
This has really been an incredible heat wave across the far southern tier of the country. I can't remember Florida ever being under so many Excessive Heat Warnings for such an extended period. I guess perhaps dewpoints are higher than normal causing it to be so hot ?
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They also lowered the threshold to 110 in S Florida.


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A level 2 threat tomorrow. Here's what WRAL is saying about it.

All of our viewing area is now under a level 2 risk tomorrow. The storms may come in 2 rounds...

Round 1: 8 AM through noon
• A broken line of storms moves from west to east
• Mainly a damaging wind threat
• Depending how robust this line is, this could help limit thunderstorm fuel for round 2

Round 2: Afternoon
• Less storms but a greater severe threat
• Best chance is in the northern half of our viewing area between 1 and 4 or 5 PM
• These could be supercells and present a wind, hail, and isolated tornado threat

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Snowlover87 said:
This has really been an incredible heat wave across the far southern tier of the country. I can't remember Florida ever being under so many Excessive Heat Warnings for such an extended period. I guess perhaps dewpoints are higher than normal causing it to be so hot ?
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It's been a weird summer for me... I mean I was in Alabama Memorial Day weekend wasnt remotely hot.. Was in Panama City Beach 2 weeks ago wasnt that bad and of course here in Tulsa other than a few days its been nothing we haven't seen before... Still running way behind last year even on days over 100. We've had rain the last 5 days too while most of Texas has yet to see a drop and of course Alabama is having severe weather like it's April almost. It's just weird to see the difference
 
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