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Pattern August 2023 Thread

The last 2 weeks have been unbearable in S. Florida. Miami went 120 hours with heat indices above 100 degrees. They also broke a record high and low temperature on August 8th. This is the first year that I've had a tough time in the heat. Naples is currently 4 degrees above normal in AUGUST, and they were 3.6 degree above normal in July. It has also been very hot in Ft. Lauderdale, but cooling rains have brought a lot of relief to the area, which was only 1.4 degrees above normal in July, and, so far, only .9 in August. https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=mfl

In fact, Ft. Lauderdale has now picked-up 72" of rain since January 1st, and this is a 38" departure from normal. This is primarily due to the crazy record-breaking rainstorm in April. Ft Lauderdale actually has a shot at triple digit annual rainfall totals, and it appears we are heading towards a more active pattern this August.
 
QUOTE..

The National Weather Service confirmed after surveying the Cross Creek area that microburst winds of 110 mph knocked over more than a dozen trees in Pender County on Thursday afternoon.

“Microburst damage found in the Cross Creek neighborhood west of Hampstead, NC. Multiple trees snapped and uprooted. Trees fell through the roofs of two homes. Minor wind damge to oen roof. New power pole on HWY 210 snapped in half. Additional damage may have occurred downstream but no access was available during the survey,” NWS wrote in a public information statement.

According to the NWS, no one was injured or killed during the storm.

Neighbors that WECT talked to said it felt like a tornado coming through or that it reminded them of a hurricane. One man who owns one of the homes that were damaged by trees said he was visibly shaken talking about the moments the powerful storm plowed through.

“Right when the tree came through, we didn’t know, we didn’t know, if anyone was hurt, I mean, that, you think a tree falling, you think, the worst,” Adam Rogers said.
 

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Sooo round 2 a huge bust after all the hype. I heard Goldsboro schools let out early because of weather concerns? Forecast not even close.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Sooo round 2 a huge bust after all the hype. I heard Goldsboro schools let out early because of weather concerns? Forecast not even close.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Are they school this early in Goldsboro? That'd be the earliest I knownof in eastern NC. My 7yr old doesn't even have open house until August 24th
 
QUOTE..

The National Weather Service confirmed after surveying the Cross Creek area that microburst winds of 110 mph knocked over more than a dozen trees in Pender County on Thursday afternoon.

“Microburst damage found in the Cross Creek neighborhood west of Hampstead, NC. Multiple trees snapped and uprooted. Trees fell through the roofs of two homes. Minor wind damge to oen roof. New power pole on HWY 210 snapped in half. Additional damage may have occurred downstream but no access was available during the survey,” NWS wrote in a public information statement.

According to the NWS, no one was injured or killed during the storm.

Neighbors that WECT talked to said it felt like a tornado coming through or that it reminded them of a hurricane. One man who owns one of the homes that were damaged by trees said he was visibly shaken talking about the moments the powerful storm plowed through.

“Right when the tree came through, we didn’t know, we didn’t know, if anyone was hurt, I mean, that, you think a tree falling, you think, the worst,” Adam Rogers said.
Guess that explains that 91mph velocity scan!!!!
 
Are they school this early in Goldsboro? That'd be the earliest I knownof in eastern NC. My 7yr old doesn't even have open house until August 24th

Saw it on What’s up Goldsboro with lost of other people confirming. No kids for me, so just going with publicly provided info.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Sooo round 2 a huge bust after all the hype. I heard Goldsboro schools let out early because of weather concerns? Forecast not even close.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
That mcs today was timed perfect to not produce as it moved through but to really choke down anything after it. Get it through around sun rise or hold it back until mid afternoon and today would have been fairly active imo
 
The last 2 weeks have been unbearable in S. Florida. Miami went 120 hours with heat indices above 100 degrees. They also broke a record high and low temperature on August 8th. This is the first year that I've had a tough time in the heat. Naples is currently 4 degrees above normal in AUGUST, and they were 3.6 degree above normal in July. It has also been very hot in Ft. Lauderdale, but cooling rains have brought a lot of relief to the area, which was only 1.4 degrees above normal in July, and, so far, only .9 in August. https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=mfl

In fact, Ft. Lauderdale has now picked-up 72" of rain since January 1st, and this is a 38" departure from normal. This is primarily due to the crazy record-breaking rainstorm in April. Ft Lauderdale actually has a shot at triple digit annual rainfall totals, and it appears we are heading towards a more active pattern this August.
I think Ft. Lauderdale will definitely end up with triple digit rainfall this year. The STJ is only going to get more active as we go through the rest of the year as the El Niño continues to take hold.
 
....another fun fact: Thousands of years from now, the "Dog Star" will rise and coincide with the dead of winter in the Northern Hemisphere. Imagine "Dog Days of Winter!"
 
The cardinal flower at my creek just started blooming and Orion is visible in the morning. Both signs that summer is waning.
I try to find any sign that summer is waning, especially during times when the temperature isn’t responding to the less daylight and lower sun angle.
 
Excessive Heat Watch for parts of Georgia this weekend. It’s frustrating seeing the temp keep going up as the days get shorter and shorter. Doesn’t make sense to me.
 
Might get lucky again and catch the northern end of this MCS. It's gonna be interacting with the Seabreeze soon so we will see if that enhances it any and has some cells ride further north along that boundary.
 
Ugh wake me when summer is over. It is August though most years don't even have a break like we had this weekScreenshot_2023-08-11-15-57-12-23_40deb401b9ffe8e1df2f1cc5ba480b12.jpg
 
Yeah it's been like this everyday in Texas basically and will continue. Not one day below 100 showing up in a lot of places there
I hate when I look at my forecast and there is no end in sight to the heat. It's always such a relief to at least see a brief period of relief.
 
I think Ft. Lauderdale will definitely end up with triple digit rainfall this year. The STJ is only going to get more active as we go through the rest of the year as the El Niño continues to take hold.

There's always an uptick in flooding rains during El Nino years due to the combination of the STJ and increase tropical activity. However, we have never had an SST Anomaly Configuration that is currently present in the East Pac and Tropical Atlantic. I feel pretty confident that we'll see a historically preposterous rainfall event in the deep south on the scale of the April Single-day Flooding in Fort Lauderdale.
 
There's always an uptick in flooding rains during El Nino years due to the combination of the STJ and increase tropical activity. However, we have never had an SST Anomaly Configuration that is currently present in the East Pac and Tropical Atlantic. I feel pretty confident that we'll see a historically preposterous rainfall event in the deep south on the scale of the April Single-day Flooding in Fort Lauderdale.
hopefully nothing like the flooding we had in Georgia in September 2009 !
 
hopefully nothing like the flooding we had in Georgia in September 2009 !

Yes. You had a red hot GOM in an El Nino Year, and there was only one storm in the Gulf in August. The next one came in November. It's the same scenario I had in mind. "Prolonged rains resulting from a nearly stationary frontal boundary during September 16–22, 2009, caused severe flooding in northern Georgia." https://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2010/1230/pdf/ofr2010-1230.pdf
 
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