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Zander98al
Guest
same storm as earlier
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same storm as earlier
HSVweather
Member
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Zander98al
Guest
The 20z HRRR doesn't have as much SRH helicity for alabama as the 18z did.
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Brick Tamland
Guest
Yikes! That looks like a really bad line coming through central NC.
Columbia SC maybe ground zero area with supercell development possible. (MIDLANDS need to play attention to how warm it gets tomorrow)
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Zander98al
Guest
How high do yall think the risk area will be by tomorrow morning for alabama/Georgia?
pcbjr
Member
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...
There is a chance for showers and isolated thunderstorms through
tonight. Thunderstorms should remain below severe limits but a
few could become strong with gusty winds...frequent
lightning...and heavy rain.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...
An unsettled weather pattern will continue into next week as a
couple of upper level waves move across Georgia. There is a
chance of thunderstorms each day except Wednesday. A few of these
storms could be strong to severe...mainly on Monday. The primary
hazard from any severe thunderstorms will be occasional
lightning...damaging wind gusts...large hail and heavy rainfall.
thunderstorm on the TN/NC line is producing large hail, just shows what we might deal with here in NC tommorow, I just got very minimal amount of pea sized hail(saw like 4 or 5) from a shower with no thunder in kannapolis NC
Snowflowxxl
Member
I think it will remain slight.
Here’s a view of towering cumulus to my west because, why not 
, and yes most of these towering cumulus clouds are feeding off MUcape, meaning there mostly elevated
, and yes most of these towering cumulus clouds are feeding off MUcape, meaning there mostly elevated
Snowflowxxl
Member
3k NAM has some PDS tornado soundings in SW Virginia. Really ramps up the threat for them.
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Zander98al
Guest
I think some areas will have a enhanced risk tomorrow. but will need to wait before tonight's model data before we can really make any conclusions.
Tornado warning in far southwest MS
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Zander98al
Guest
This storm northwest of birmingham trying to rotate some
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Zander98al
Guest
This is from the NWS of bham
HRRR still favoring Very high shear in a zone of 1500-2000j of cape around 9 or 10 tomorrow morning.
HRRR still favoring Very high shear in a zone of 1500-2000j of cape around 9 or 10 tomorrow morning.
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No ideal for some in NC. I think south-west Virginia could throw some clouds south and rain while they see tornado warnings.
Here’s that batch of convection encountering 2000+ jkg of SFC cape as it heads out the mountains, can already see the hail cores, this frame says @Jimmy Hypocracy and @Tarheel1 may experience a nasty hailstorm/microburst. Also there will possibly be a remnant boundary left over somewhere in southern VA/northern NC that might enhance low level rotation when storms develop near/along it 
Thanks for the heads up, Fro
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Zander98al
Guest
Two tornado warned storms in lousiana
BufordWX
Member
Make that four tornado warned storms now.
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Zander98al
Guest
Still a sketchy/scary looking scene for tomorrow. A row of supercells. And a highly sheared, moderately unstable environment. 
Your Pick 4 numbers are 1003
Welp, and also a low level lapse rate of 9C and 700+ jkg of DCAPE argues for intense outflows/microbursts with hail in the strongest cores 
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Zander98al
Guest
Well it seems none of the news stations are talking about the threat for tomorrow. Don't understand why not. Unless they want this to catch alabamians by surprise?
BufordWX
Member
Does the 3-km NAM tend to lack precipitation at all? 00z run says areas between Birmingham and Atlanta won’t get a drop of rain at all tomorrow.
Wish y’all could see this. Partly cloudy at my house but I’m sitting outside looking south accross the pasture at a light show! Best seats in the house. I’ve got an unobstructed zero light pollution view here and I wouldn’t trade it for anything
These storms are just gonna be plain nasty tommorow, classic severe multicellular clusters
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
Member
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Jimmys storm!
What’s the time frame we’re looking at here at my house?
I’m literally getting fringed with partly cloudy and looking south and some violent lightning. Looks like that’s about to change though..
Between 12-3, multicellular clusters likely the dominate mode although some supercell structures are possible which pose a larger hail risk, your area is close tho when it comes to thunderstorm development, there’s a small chance you may get missed and convection develops right to your east
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Zander98al
Guest
From NWS of bham
Hmm, makes me skeptical there being that much CAPE looking at CC tommorow 
I’m betting it’s a mucky cloud cover .. some breaks mixed in and a time where there’s almost sun coming through but you can’t see the sun type of thing ... plenty enough energy for these storms
BufordWX
Member
New SPC day 1 outlook expands slight risk area even more.
FWIW, the 06z HRRR is somewhat similar, which has a pretty good handle on the current (weakening) line of stormd.
Basically, it looks like the energy splits to the north and to the south.
Fountainguy97
Member
Overnight hrrr and nam are not quite as intense with the development of a large line of storms across NC this evening.
That being said there will still be plenty of TStorm activity across SC and NC and eastern portions of GA this afternoon!
It’s all about counting the minutes of sunlight now.
Biggest question will be how hot and how unstable we become this afternoon.
That being said there will still be plenty of TStorm activity across SC and NC and eastern portions of GA this afternoon!
It’s all about counting the minutes of sunlight now.
Biggest question will be how hot and how unstable we become this afternoon.
Waking up to a heavy mist and cloud cover, hmm I wonder how long it will last
BufordWX
Member
Tornado warning in north Alabama