MCS still holding together moving into GA. Maybe I could get a piece of this after all. I always enjoy overnight thunderstorms.
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Snowflowxxl
Member
Yep, I am hopeful I can fall asleep tonight to some rumbles of thunder and raindrops!
@Snowflowxxl & @BufordWX I don’t see why it wouldn’t, maybe a little bit less MUcape but the areas y’all are in still supports thunderstorms due to MUcape of 250-500 jkg and EL temps around -30 to -45 
It’s coming in right now with heavy rain and a few rumbles of thunder. Some good lightning and some wind too. It’s flash flooding on my street already.
Snowflowxxl
Member
It’s has arrived, I am happy!
ATL getting rocked!
Snowflowxxl
Member
Thunder and lightning have been impressive. Wind was whipping pretty good at first ad well!
SPC sticking with only a slight risk so far for the new day 1 but did shift it it a bit to the east.
Look closely, it’s birdmandoom! ?
Looks about like I thought, woody woodpecker!?
Looks about like I thought, woody woodpecker!?
I’ll be lucky if I see a sprinkle!! Sad really!
Had several hours of thunderstorms overnight.
Now we look to get pretty steamy today, with highs in the low 80s.
No low clouds so far as the convective debris moves out.
Now we look to get pretty steamy today, with highs in the low 80s.
No low clouds so far as the convective debris moves out.
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Called it!?
Fountainguy97
Member
Latest hrrr trying to put NC in a decent threat tomorrow.
Remnant line re-firing with a pretty unstable atmosphere out in front. Temps touching 80 as well.
Remnant line re-firing with a pretty unstable atmosphere out in front. Temps touching 80 as well.
Typical hail sounding right there with good cape between -10 and -30, WBZ right at 700 hPa, sounding supports 1+ inch hail, also a good damaging outflow/wet microburst sounding with large cape/decent-large amount of DCAPE, large Delta-theta E values, dry air entrainment, with just enough wind energy there’s that outside chance of a MCS that develops once the line reforms in the foothills
Fountainguy97
Member
Yeah hrrr has “perfect” timing of the line coming through during peak heating. Nam on the other hand was much slower with the line.
Hrrr goes on to build a significant line into central NC.
NAM continues to slowly favor weakly rotating supercells in parts of the upstate, I wouldn’t worry much about tornadoes but I would worry about big hail and microburst/RFD winds in those storms 
Just wanting to bring up the HRRR was horribly wrong with the complex that went through ATL last night! Showed it holding together as a fairly strong line into Greenville around 7-9AM, didn’t even get a sprinkle.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
The HRRR seems to show almost 3 rounds of severe weather for AL though GA in just 36 hours. It keeps reloading and it's a perfect setup for a multiday outbreak given the position of the low constantly feeding in hot humid air.
It's a low/conditional threat, but will definitely have to keep an eye on any outflow boundaries or MCVs ahead of the main shortwave late this afternoon/early this evening. CAPE values of 2000-3000 J/KG and Lapse Raptes greater than 7 C/KM are advertised.
There's only a weak cap and even the HRRR is hinting at some isolated activity.
There's only a weak cap and even the HRRR is hinting at some isolated activity.
Lol that 00z run especially, it actually before wasn’t showing the line making it to Georgia, it’s still confused from the fail of this past winter, lol