bingcrosbyb
Member
Thats the day the ef5 hit oak grove.Just noticed this sounding is flagging 4/16/98 like the Ukmet did earlier this week.
Thats the day the ef5 hit oak grove.
Hey now don't be bringing my county in to thisJust to make something known, I'm not expecting a big outbreak. Im more concerned one or two storms will cross that boundary and become tornadic and possibly drop a strong tornado over a fairly populated area. I'm looking at you Shelby County.
Didn’t you say you wouldn’t be surprised by a moderate?Just to make something known, I'm not expecting a big outbreak. Im more concerned one or two storms will cross that boundary and become tornadic and possibly drop a strong tornado over a fairly populated area. I'm looking at you Shelby County.
Thinking this is representing the MCS Threat with main focus between US 80 and US 278 Corridors . With a "trailing" more discrete segment in "wake" triggered by south boundry of MCS south of US 80 ...
Your right I shouldn't said anything, just though since your a Meteorologist you would know these simple answers.It's not time be a jackhole, I just asked because I know plenty people on this forum with a lot of meteorology experience. Btw I am an aspiring Meteorologist so have a seat @accu35 and learn to mind your business because I KNOW you did not know the answer to my question.
Didn’t you say you wouldn’t be surprised by a moderate?
Is it possible that the RAP is on drugs, with this large of a warm sector and parameters?View attachment 39733View attachment 39734
I think this event is definitely one to watch . Especially for central SC.The latest guidance isn't lining up too badly with the SPC outlook.
Some of the updrafts are worse than the last event (of course it's a model)...
The sigtor/supercell parameters are still showing a chance of creeping further North.
Idk if TT GFS soundings are broken or I have a bad site.. but they keep showing 0 SBCape no matter what frame.. which is strange.
This system looks to have a higher bust potential than last Sunday's system. Especially because we are dealing with a much more stout wedge. Those can really extinguish the threat of severe weather.
There is some concern about dominant storm mode, but effective shear
of 50-60+ kt will easily support supercell structures. A 40-50+ kt
low-level jet is also forecast to develop across parts of LA/MS and
vicinity by peak afternoon heating. A corresponding increase in
low-level shear combined with the strong deep-layer shear and
moderate to locally strong instability suggests the potential for
strong tornadoes with scattered supercells and clusters in a
corridor extending from northern LA into southern/central MS/AL
Sunday afternoon and evening. Scattered large hail and damaging
winds, some of which could be significant, may also occur. Given the
increased confidence in strong tornadoes occurring, a Moderate Risk
has been introduced across this area.